Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd stock ¥2.00, price ¥1.96, upside +2.0%, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.63 – ¥6.28 · fair‑value band ¥0.8000 – ¥3.32 · the ¥1.96 price screens below the ¥2.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 31, 2026.
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Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of iron and steel metallurgical products.
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The company offers steel; carbon steel wire rod and other type of wire rod; hot rolled wire rod; structural wire rod and steel plates; steel plates; alloy mold plate; and mold steel. It also sells mineral products and coal.
In addition, the company offers general freight; wharf and other port facilities services; and technology development, transfer, introduction and consulting services. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Shaoguan, China.
Guangdong Zhongnan Iron and Steel Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Baowu Group Zhongnan Iron and Steel Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717) currently trades at ¥1.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.00, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥3.50 per share, and 5 of the 13 models we run sit above the ¥1.96 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥1.29, and 8 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.8000 (bear) to ¥3.32 (bull), the price of ¥1.96 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Sgis Songshan Co Ltd reported revenue of 26.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 45.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.8B CNY (≈ $714M) Small · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.4700 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin −4.9% · Return on equity −16.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% · Operating margin −0.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 2%, 000717 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥0.8000Fair Value ¥2.00Bull¥3.32
Price ¥1.96 · Upside +2.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.9% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.2% (2020) → 0.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 408 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside+2.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−6.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−4.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−0.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−13.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sgis Songshan Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000717
Frequently asked questions
Is Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.00 versus a price of ¥1.96, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 000717?
Our model-based fair value for Sgis Songshan Co Ltd is ¥2.00 (as of Oct 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥1.96.
What is the quality score of 000717?
Sgis Songshan Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.00 (as of Oct 31, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.8000, optimistic scenario ¥3.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sgis Songshan Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.00, about +2% upside versus a price of ¥1.96 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥0.8000, optimistic scenario ¥3.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
Sgis Songshan Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 24.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 31, 2026).
Does Sgis Songshan Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Sgis Songshan Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.92% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 31, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sgis Songshan Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -0.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.7 % per year. As of Oct 31, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 000717 use?
Our models discount Sgis Songshan Co Ltd at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.74, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sgis Songshan Co Ltd that is -0.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sgis Songshan Co Ltd grew -3.7 % a year. The price currently implies -0.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (-0.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.70 %: that much free cash flow Sgis Songshan Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sgis Songshan Co Ltd it is ¥2.00 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026), against a price of ¥1.96. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sgis Songshan Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 31, 2026, 000717 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥1.96, fair value ¥2.00, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000717?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥1.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.00). For Sgis Songshan Co Ltd the two are ¥0.0400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sgis Songshan Co Ltd worth?
The market values Sgis Songshan Co Ltd at about 4.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 31, 2026). Per share that is ¥1.96; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000717?
Our models span a range for Sgis Songshan Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.8000, base ¥2.00, optimistic ¥3.32 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026, price ¥1.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (as of Oct 31, 2026): return on equity −16.9%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000717 from its 52-week high?
Sgis Songshan Co Ltd trades at ¥1.96, about 32% below its 52-week high of ¥2.88 and at the low of ¥1.96 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sgis Songshan Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sgis Songshan Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 31, 2026: price ¥1.96, calculated fair value ¥2.00 (+2%), Quality Score 44/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000717 calculated?
We run Sgis Songshan Co Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Sgis Songshan Co Ltd currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was ¥1.96. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.00, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sgis Songshan Co Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (¥0.8000 to ¥3.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
The market capitalisation of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd is 4.8B CNY (≈ $714M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
Earnings per share at Sgis Songshan Co Ltd are ¥−0.4700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
The dividend yield of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
The net margin of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd is −4.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd is −16.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd is −0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
The operating margin of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
Revenue at Sgis Songshan Co Ltd is growing −13.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717)?
Earnings per share at Sgis Songshan Co Ltd are growing −77.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sgis Songshan Co Ltd (000717) carry?
The net debt of Sgis Songshan Co Ltd is 568M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 31, 2026