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Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co (000731) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.2B CNY

SM Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co 000731 · SHE
Price¥5.72
Fair Value¥5.98
Upside+4.6%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -3.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.69% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥4.98 – ¥6.96 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥2.99 to ¥5.98 (+100.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥4.98 (bear) to ¥6.96 (bull), base ¥5.98. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥12.29 ¥3.70 Fair Value ¥5.98 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.70 – ¥12.29 · fair‑value band ¥4.98 – ¥6.96 · the ¥5.72 price screens below the ¥5.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co (000731) currently trades at ¥5.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.98, implying the stock looks roughly 4.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co generated revenue of 3.7B CNY at a net margin of -3.8%. Revenue declined 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 541M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.98 (bear case) to ¥6.96 (bull case); at ¥5.72, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 5%, 000731 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.44 ¥1.56 ¥1.72 80
EV/EBITDA ¥2.71 ¥3.21 ¥3.71 54
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.50 ¥4.70 ¥7.01 50
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.44 ¥1.57 ¥1.77 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.96 ¥2.39 ¥3.04 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.41 ¥1.53 ¥1.68 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.15 ¥2.95 ¥3.90 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.41 ¥1.52 ¥1.67 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.89 ¥2.49 ¥3.36 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥2.71 ¥3.21 ¥3.71 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.40 ¥1.48 ¥1.56 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.50 ¥4.70 ¥7.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.44 ¥1.56 ¥1.72 80

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.70) versus Multiples (¥1.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.2%
Net margin -3.8%
Return on equity -3.2%
Free cash flow 11.6M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -3.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2600
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -76.9%
Net cash 541M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells chemical products in China. It offers urea, compound fertilizer, automotive urea, nitrogen oxide reducing agents, melamine, nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, oilfield chemicals, carbon dioxide, and polymer materials; and packaging plastic products, as well as liquefied natural gas.

Full company description

Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells chemical products in China. It offers urea, compound fertilizer, automotive urea, nitrogen oxide reducing agents, melamine, nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, oilfield chemicals, carbon dioxide, and polymer materials; and packaging plastic products, as well as liquefied natural gas. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Deyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co reported revenue of ¥3.7B in FY2025 versus ¥4.1B in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥122M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.7B CNY
Latest YoY
−18.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+14.6%
Revenue −2.4%/yr
FY21 ¥4.1B
FY22 ¥4.9B
FY23 ¥4.2B
FY24 ¥4.6B
FY25 ¥3.7B
Net income
FY21 ¥569M
FY22 ¥622M
FY23 ¥383M
FY24 ¥272M
FY25 −¥122M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000731

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 41.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 39 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 37
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 34 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co (000731) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.98 versus a price of ¥5.72, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 000731?
Our model-based fair value for Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co is ¥5.98 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.72.
What is the quality score of 000731?
Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co (000731)?
Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000731?
The net profit margin of Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co is about -3.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co pay a dividend?
Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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