Cheng De Lolo Company (000848) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 8.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +9.1% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 47% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (76/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥9.68). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.07 – ¥11.70 · fair‑value band ¥9.68 – ¥16.14 · the ¥8.79 price screens below the ¥12.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Cheng De Lolo Company (000848) currently trades at ¥8.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.91, implying the stock looks roughly 46.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cheng De Lolo Company generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 19.9%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.68 (bear case) to ¥16.14 (bull case); at ¥8.79, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 47%, 000848 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥15.31) versus Asset-Based (¥2.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cheng De Lolo Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of plant protein beverages in China.
Full company description
Cheng De Lolo Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of plant protein beverages in China. The company offers dew series, including Classic plain almond dew, Classic plain unsweetened almond dew, Classic plain praline walnut dew, classic original walnut dew, classic original almond dew affectionate style, classic plain almond dew, almond milk tea jingshan matcha flavor, apricot luck colorful financier, almond dew classic low sugar, and walnut dew classic low sugar. It also provides milk series, such as plain almond milk and almond milk series. In Addition, The company provides water series, including loquat and autumn pear drink, tangerine peel and plum drink, goji berries and mulberries drink, longan ginger and jujube drink, carbonated drink with gravity white peach flavor juice, and carbonated beverage with gravity hawthorn flavor juice. It sells its products through online sales platforms. The company was formerly known as He Bei Cheng De Lolo Company Limited and changed its name to Cheng De Lolo Company Limited in May 2022. Cheng De Lolo Company Limited was founded in 1950 and is based in Chengde City, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cheng De Lolo Company reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥627M in FY2025, compounding +2.4%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 000848: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $87.05 | $36.57 | -58% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $139.02 | $106.91 | -23% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $97.50 | $35.82 | -63% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$41.44 | HK$30.72 | -26% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €85.41 | -7% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $31.25 | $30.99 | -1% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $102.04 | $106.45 | +4% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €57.90 | €52.82 | -9% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹495.70 | ₹187.49 | -62% |
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥124.43 | ¥107.57 | -14% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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