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Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Tianjin Jinbin Development ¥0.87, price ¥1.88, upside -53.7%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · CN · ISIN CNE000000Y60

TJ Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Tianjin Jinbin Development

000897 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥0.8700 · Strongly overvalued (−54%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −25.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -18.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥3.47 ¥1.63 Fair Value ¥0.8700 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.63 – ¥3.47 · fair‑value band ¥0.8300 – ¥0.9200 · the ¥1.88 price screens above the ¥0.8700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Tianjin Jinbin Development Co.,Ltd engages in the real estate development business in China. The company develops industrial parks, and commercial and residential real estate properties. Tianjin Jinbin Development Co.,Ltd was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Tianjin, China.

Stock analysis

Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897) currently trades at ¥1.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8700, implying the stock looks roughly 116.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥1.25 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥1.88 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥0.2500, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.8300 (bear) to ¥0.9200 (bull), the price of ¥1.88 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Tianjin Jinbin Development reported revenue of 413M CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −34.6%/yr. Reported net income was −43.2M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.0B CNY (≈ $454M) · P/S ratio 9.38 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0400 · Net margin −10.5% · Return on equity −2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% · Operating margin −3.5% · Revenue (TTM) 321M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −54%, 000897 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.8300 Fair Value ¥0.8700 Bull ¥0.9200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA ¥0.2000 ¥0.2500 ¥0.2900 67
EV/EBIT ¥0.2300 ¥0.2900 ¥0.3400 66
EV/Revenue ¥0.1600 ¥0.2000 ¥0.2400 54
All 4 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥0.2300 ¥0.2900 ¥0.3400 66
EV/EBITDA ¥0.2000 ¥0.2500 ¥0.2900 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.1600 ¥0.2000 ¥0.2400 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9300 ¥1.25 ¥1.86 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−85.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−33.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.7% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.6% (2019) → 3.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

000897 screens 116% overvalued. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside −54% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −65% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.41× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.78× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$109.10 HK$147.78 +35%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$29.62 HK$74.05 +150%
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 68,200 VND 112,796 VND +65%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.44 HK$71.69 +54%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.74 $1.52 −83%
DLF Limited DLF ₹675.00 ₹167.21 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.43 HK$22.35 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,163 ₹275.95 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.64 ¥14.10 +150%
CTP N.V CTPNV €13.58 €10.30 −24%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tianjin Jinbin Development Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000897

Frequently asked questions

Is Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.8700 versus a price of ¥1.88, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000897?
Our model-based fair value for Tianjin Jinbin Development is ¥0.8700 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥1.88.
What is the quality score of 000897?
Tianjin Jinbin Development has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.8700 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.8300, optimistic scenario ¥0.9200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tianjin Jinbin Development stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.8700, about −54% upside versus a price of ¥1.88 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.8300, optimistic scenario ¥0.9200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
Tianjin Jinbin Development reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 321M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tianjin Jinbin Development it is ¥0.8700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥1.88. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tianjin Jinbin Development stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 000897 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥1.88, fair value ¥0.8700, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000897?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥1.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.8700). For Tianjin Jinbin Development the two are ¥1.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tianjin Jinbin Development worth?
The market values Tianjin Jinbin Development at about 3.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥1.88; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.8700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000897?
Our models span a range for Tianjin Jinbin Development: cautious scenario ¥0.8300, base ¥0.8700, optimistic ¥0.9200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥1.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 000897?
The PEG ratio of Tianjin Jinbin Development is 1.78 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tianjin Jinbin Development (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.0%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000897 from its 52-week high?
Tianjin Jinbin Development trades at ¥1.88, about 27% below its 52-week high of ¥2.59 and 15% above the low of ¥1.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.8700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tianjin Jinbin Development?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tianjin Jinbin Development stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥1.88, calculated fair value ¥0.8700 (−54%), Quality Score 47/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000897 calculated?
We run Tianjin Jinbin Development through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.8700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Tianjin Jinbin Development itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥1.88. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.8700, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tianjin Jinbin Development right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.9200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥0.8300 to ¥0.9200), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Tianjin Jinbin Development

How large is the market capitalisation of Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
The market capitalisation of Tianjin Jinbin Development is 3.0B CNY (≈ $454M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tianjin Jinbin Development is 9.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
Earnings per share at Tianjin Jinbin Development are ¥−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
The net margin of Tianjin Jinbin Development is −10.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tianjin Jinbin Development is −2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tianjin Jinbin Development is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
The operating margin of Tianjin Jinbin Development is −3.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
Revenue at Tianjin Jinbin Development is growing −64.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −33.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897)?
Earnings per share at Tianjin Jinbin Development are growing −56.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897) generate?
The free cash flow of Tianjin Jinbin Development is −1.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Tianjin Jinbin Development (000897) hold?
Tianjin Jinbin Development holds more cash than debt, 1.1B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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