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YONFER Agricultural Technology Co (000902) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 16.2B CNY

YA YONFER Agricultural Technology Co 000902 · SHE
Price¥13.40
Fair Value¥15.20
Upside+13.4%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.62% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range ¥10.29 – ¥25.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥21.84 to ¥15.20 (−30.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +10.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (¥10.29 to ¥25.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from ¥10.29 (bear) to ¥25.41 (bull), base ¥15.20. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.85 ¥8.99 Fair Value ¥15.20 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.99 – ¥21.85 · fair‑value band ¥10.29 – ¥25.41 · the ¥13.40 price screens below the ¥15.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

YONFER Agricultural Technology Co (000902) currently trades at ¥13.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.20, implying the stock looks roughly 13.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, YONFER Agricultural Technology Co generated revenue of 18.9B CNY at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at 40.5M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥10.29 (bear case) to ¥25.41 (bull case); at ¥13.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 13%, 000902 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥8.46 ¥17.30 ¥31.37 80
Residual Income ¥9.13 ¥11.49 ¥28.56 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥13.43 ¥26.66 ¥45.28 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.71 ¥16.02 ¥34.59 38
Owner Earnings ¥11.08 ¥22.80 ¥45.52 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥13.43 ¥27.42 ¥47.82 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.04 ¥28.77 ¥48.62 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥13.57 ¥27.72 ¥45.19 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥11.33 ¥24.47 ¥47.54 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.31 ¥25.50 ¥48.26 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.99 ¥24.70 ¥45.15 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥8.74 ¥51.99 ¥72.43 54
Lynch FV ¥14.79 ¥21.13 ¥27.46 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥14.79 ¥21.13 ¥27.46 46
EPV ¥14.24 ¥16.62 ¥18.69 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥16.38 ¥21.84 ¥27.31 63
P/S Multiple ¥16.18 ¥21.58 ¥26.97 58
P/B Multiple ¥16.38 ¥21.84 ¥27.31 55
EV/EBIT ¥17.98 ¥23.97 ¥29.96 53
EV/EBITDA ¥17.09 ¥22.79 ¥28.48 54
EV/Revenue ¥15.11 ¥21.58 ¥28.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.73 ¥6.34 ¥9.46 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥8.46 ¥17.30 ¥31.37 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥13.43 ¥26.66 ¥45.28 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥9.13 ¥11.49 ¥28.56 76
ROIC Compounder ¥16.85 ¥24.53 ¥33.46 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥19.66 ¥28.09 ¥36.51 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥28.09) versus Asset-Based (¥6.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.8%
Net margin 8.5%
Return on equity 13.3%
Free cash flow 758M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 9.9
More key figures
Operating margin 11.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.30
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.0%
Net debt 40.5M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

YONFER Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and marketing of fertilizers in China.

Full company description

YONFER Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and marketing of fertilizers in China. The company provides phosphate and compound fertilizers, such as MAP fertilizers, slow and controlled release fertilizers, compound fertilizers, and water-soluble fertilizers; new energy materials; fine chemicals; and phosphogypsum building materials. It also offers agrochemical services. In addition, the company exports its products. It sells its products under the Yonfer, AUTTLER, LEKAIHUAI, RESINO, and other brands. The company was formerly known as Xinyangfeng Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to YONFER Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. in April 2023. YONFER Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Jingmen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

YONFER Agricultural Technology Co reported revenue of ¥18.0B in FY2025 versus ¥11.8B in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.6B in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
18.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+16.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+16.5%
Revenue +11.2%/yr
FY21 ¥11.8B
FY22 ¥16.0B
FY23 ¥15.1B
FY24 ¥15.6B
FY25 ¥18.0B
Net income +7.4%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥1.3B
FY25 ¥1.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "YONFER Agricultural Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000902

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +13% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 18% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.37× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 22
FUTURE 89 · sector 37
PAST 53 · sector 24
HEALTH 93 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is YONFER Agricultural Technology Co (000902) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.20 versus a price of ¥13.40, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000902?
Our model-based fair value for YONFER Agricultural Technology Co is ¥15.20 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.40.
What is the quality score of 000902?
YONFER Agricultural Technology Co has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of YONFER Agricultural Technology Co (000902)?
YONFER Agricultural Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000902?
The net profit margin of YONFER Agricultural Technology Co is about 8.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does YONFER Agricultural Technology Co pay a dividend?
YONFER Agricultural Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.62% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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