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Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co (001311) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 7.4B CNY

CD Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co 001311 · SHE
Price¥16.89
Fair Value¥12.49
Upside-26.1%
Quality31/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥9.31 – ¥15.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −14.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥34.38 ¥11.24 Fair Value ¥12.49 Feb 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range ¥11.24 – ¥34.38 · fair‑value band ¥9.31 – ¥15.61 · the ¥16.89 price screens above the ¥12.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co (001311) currently trades at ¥16.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.49, implying the stock looks roughly 26.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co generated revenue of 4.4B CNY at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 27.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 509M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.31 (bear case) to ¥15.61 (bull case); at ¥16.89, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -26%, 001311 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.67 ¥8.73 ¥8.22 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.06 ¥6.87 ¥7.57 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.53 ¥13.62 ¥17.70 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.95 ¥22.22 ¥30.87 54
Lynch FV ¥6.23 ¥8.90 ¥11.57 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.23 ¥8.90 ¥11.57 46
EPV ¥6.06 ¥6.87 ¥7.57 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.58 ¥12.78 ¥15.97 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.40 ¥9.87 ¥12.34 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.40 ¥9.87 ¥12.34 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.32 ¥14.79 ¥18.26 53
EV/EBITDA ¥13.49 ¥17.67 ¥21.86 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.93 ¥10.94 ¥13.94 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.74 ¥7.69 ¥11.47 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.67 ¥8.73 ¥8.22 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.06 ¥6.87 ¥7.57 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.53 ¥13.62 ¥17.70 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥13.62) versus Economic Profit (¥6.87). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +27.2%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 4.4%
Free cash flow −29.2M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 41.6
More key figures
Operating margin 9.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4400
EPS growth (YoY) -28.5%
Net cash 509M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 13
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the development, manufacture, and sales of automotive stamping and welding parts, and related molds to vehicle manufacturers in China and internationally. It also offers functional parts, stamping dies, and hot forming and integrated die-casting parts. Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co., Ltd.

Full company description

Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the development, manufacture, and sales of automotive stamping and welding parts, and related molds to vehicle manufacturers in China and internationally. It also offers functional parts, stamping dies, and hot forming and integrated die-casting parts. Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2010 and is based in Suzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co reported revenue of ¥4.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.8B in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥234M in FY2025, compounding −11.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.0%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+13.8%
Revenue +10.9%/yr
FY21 ¥2.8B
FY22 ¥3.4B
FY23 ¥3.9B
FY24 ¥3.6B
FY25 ¥4.2B
Net income −11.7%/yr
FY21 ¥386M
FY22 ¥447M
FY23 ¥497M
FY24 ¥425M
FY25 ¥234M

001311 screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001311

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.60× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.67× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 18 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co (001311) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.49 versus a price of ¥16.89, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001311?
Our model-based fair value for Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co is ¥12.49 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥16.89.
What is the quality score of 001311?
Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co (001311)?
Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 001311?
The net profit margin of Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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