Transfar Zhilian Co (002010) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 13.3B CNY

A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• A fairly wide model range (¥1.62 to ¥4.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.32 – ¥8.89 · fair‑value band ¥1.62 – ¥4.20 · the ¥4.82 price screens above the ¥3.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Transfar Zhilian Co (002010) currently trades at ¥4.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.74, implying the stock looks roughly 22.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Transfar Zhilian Co generated revenue of 23.0B CNY at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 34.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. Net debt stands at 5.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.62 (bear case) to ¥4.20 (bull case); at ¥4.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -22%, 002010 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥4.67) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.8600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Transfar Zhilian Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the chemical and logistics businesses in China and internationally.

Full company description

Transfar Zhilian Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the chemical and logistics businesses in China and internationally. The company operates through nine segments: Textile Printing and Dyeing Auxiliaries; Butadiene Rubber; Coatings and Construction Chemicals; Online Freight Platform Business; After-Sales Vehicle Business; Logistics Supply Chain Business; Smart Highway Port Business; Payment, Insurance, and Other Services; and Real Estate Sales and Engineering Construction Management. It offers textile and fiber chemicals, functional polymers, and automotive and electronic chemicals; organosilicon, polyurethane, and surfactants; specialty silicone resins; nickel-based butadiene rubber, neodymium-based rare earth butadiene rubber, and specialty rubbers; polyester and acrylic resins; and plastics, industrial inks, and specialty coatings. The company also provides collection, distribution, storage, transportation, and delivery services; supply chain logistics services; and digital logistics infrastructure services. It exports its products. The company is headquartered in Hangzhou, China. Transfar Zhilian Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Transfar Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Transfar Zhilian Co reported revenue of ¥26.7B in FY2024 versus ¥21.6B in FY2020, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥152M in FY2024, compounding −43.8%/yr from FY2020.

002010 screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.