Jiangsu Shagang Co (002075) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 8.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +18.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (¥2.27 to ¥2.59), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.84 – ¥11.56 · fair‑value band ¥2.27 – ¥2.59 · the ¥3.96 price screens above the ¥2.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Shagang Co (002075) currently trades at ¥3.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.27, implying the stock looks roughly 42.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Shagang Co generated revenue of 12.8B CNY at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue declined 8.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at 1.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.27 (bear case) to ¥2.59 (bull case); at ¥3.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -43%, 002075 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.94) versus Asset-Based (¥2.01). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Shagang Co., Ltd. engages in the development, smelting, processing, and sale of ferrous metals in China and internationally.
Full company description
Jiangsu Shagang Co., Ltd. engages in the development, smelting, processing, and sale of ferrous metals in China and internationally. It offers steel products, including automotive, engineering machinery, energy, machinery industry, rail transit, mining, and ship anchor chain steel products; casting round billets; gear products, such as automobile engine, gearbox, rear axle, spiral bevel, commercial vehicle, and new energy vehicle gears; and hot-rolled round and flat steel products. The company also provides heavy and thick plates, hot-rolled plates, cold-rolled plates, ultra-thin strips, high-speed wire rods, large coiled wire rods, and ribbed rebars under the Shagang brand. Its products are used in aerospace, marine engineering, high-rise buildings, bridges, pipelines, petrochemicals, automotive, home appliances, and food packaging industries. In addition, the company is involved in steel trading; sale of gasoline, diesel, and lubricant; development and sale of real estate; pellet processing; processing and recycling of renewable resources; asset management and investment management activities; and the production and sale of ground slag powder and slag cement, as well as bearings and transmission components. Further, it provides installation, construction, and decoration services, as well as hotel services. Additionally, the company exports its products to 90 countries and regions in Southeast Asia, Europe, North America, South America, Oceania, and Africa. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Huaigang Group Co. Ltd. Jiangsu Shagang Co., Ltd. was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Zhangjiagang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Shagang Co reported revenue of ¥13.1B in FY2025 versus ¥18.5B in FY2021, a compound −8.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥267M in FY2025, compounding −30.0%/yr from FY2021.
002075 screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 378 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2010 | $0.2000 | -0% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,227 | ₹1,140 | -7% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.89 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.55 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 313,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -50% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,940 ARS | +17% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,844 | ₹1,098 | -40% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 42.64 MXN | -49% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,210 ARS | +53% |
Compare Jiangsu Shagang Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangsu Shagang Co (002075) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 002075?
What is the quality score of 002075?
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Shagang Co (002075)?
What is the net profit margin of 002075?
Does Jiangsu Shagang Co pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Jiangsu Shagang Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.