Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd ¥11.48, price ¥8.73, upside +31.5%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.10 – ¥35.03 · fair‑value band ¥8.78 – ¥14.35 · the ¥8.73 price screens below the ¥11.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells precision aluminum alloy die castings and related accessories in China. Its precision aluminum alloy die castings and related accessories are used in automotive, communication, and electromechanical products.
Show more
Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells precision aluminum alloy die castings and related accessories in China. Its precision aluminum alloy die castings and related accessories are used in automotive, communication, and electromechanical products. The company also offers automobile signboard, radiator grille, air conditioning outlet, and other internal and external accessories. In addition, it provides investment and support services for strategic development, industrial upgrading, and business-related diversification of listed companies, as well as fund management services. Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Zhaoqing, China.
Stock analysis
Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101) currently trades at ¥8.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.48, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥12.92 per share, and 11 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥8.73 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥4.41, and 6 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥8.78 (bear) to ¥14.35 (bull), the price of ¥8.73 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 9.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was 362M CNY in FY2025, compounding +4.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.8B CNY (≈ $866M) · P/E ratio 18.6 · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.4700 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 32%, 002101 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥8.78Fair Value ¥11.48Bull ¥14.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3438 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.1% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13% vs 4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 5%
Compare Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 81 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+32% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002101
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.48 versus a price of ¥8.73, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002101?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is ¥11.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.73.
What is the quality score of 002101?
Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥11.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥8.78, optimistic scenario ¥14.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥11.48, about +32% upside versus a price of ¥8.73 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥8.78, optimistic scenario ¥14.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.01% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd it is ¥11.48 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥8.73. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002101 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥8.73, fair value ¥11.48, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002101?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥8.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥11.48). For Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd the two are ¥2.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd worth?
The market values Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd at about 5.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥8.73; our models calculate a fair value of ¥11.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002101?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥8.78, base ¥11.48, optimistic ¥14.35 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥8.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002101?
Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥11.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 0.7, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 4.5.
What is the PEG ratio of 002101?
The PEG ratio of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is 1.00 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002101 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd trades at ¥8.73, about 41% below its 52-week high of ¥14.75 and 5% above the low of ¥8.32 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥11.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, China Hongqiao Group, Hindalco Industries Limited, Aluminum Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥8.73, calculated fair value ¥11.48 (+32%), Quality Score 34/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002101 calculated?
We run Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥11.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd currently trades 32 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥8.73. Our model-based fair value is ¥11.48, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price sits below our cautious bear case: the market assumes less than even our pessimistic scenario. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101) come from?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd grew +8.8 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.8 %, EBIT margin +0.5 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is 5.8B CNY (≈ $866M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is 0.73 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd are ¥0.4700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is 4.0% (payout 74.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
The net margin of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is 3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
Revenue at Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is growing −6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd are growing +1.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd is −485M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd (002101) hold?
Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 2.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Guangdong Hongtu Technology Holdings Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
