Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co (002101) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 5.7B CNY

Below-average quality, screening 31% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• Our model range runs from ¥8.61 (bear) to ¥14.35 (bull), base ¥11.48. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 34/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.38 – ¥35.03 · fair‑value band ¥8.61 – ¥14.35 · the ¥8.74 price screens below the ¥11.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co (002101) currently trades at ¥8.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.48, implying the stock looks roughly 31.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co generated revenue of 9.1B CNY at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue declined 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.61 (bear case) to ¥14.35 (bull case); at ¥8.74, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 31%, 002101 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥12.92) versus Dividend Discount (¥5.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells precision aluminum alloy die castings and related accessories in China. Its precision aluminum alloy die castings and related accessories are used in automotive, communication, and electromechanical products.

Full company description

Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells precision aluminum alloy die castings and related accessories in China. Its precision aluminum alloy die castings and related accessories are used in automotive, communication, and electromechanical products. The company also offers automobile signboard, radiator grille, air conditioning outlet, and other internal and external accessories. In addition, it provides investment and support services for strategic development, industrial upgrading, and business-related diversification of listed companies, as well as fund management services. Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Zhaoqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co reported revenue of ¥9.2B in FY2025 versus ¥6.0B in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥362M in FY2025, compounding +4.8%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Aluminum · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.