Yunda Holding (002120) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 19.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price −2.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from ¥6.36 (bear) to ¥10.61 (bull), base ¥8.49. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.59 – ¥20.86 · fair‑value band ¥6.36 – ¥10.61 · the ¥6.71 price screens below the ¥8.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Yunda Holding (002120) currently trades at ¥6.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.49, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yunda Holding generated revenue of 51.9B CNY at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. Net debt stands at 4.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.36 (bear case) to ¥10.61 (bull case); at ¥6.71, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 27%, 002120 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥13.91) versus Economic Profit (¥4.84). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Yunda Holding Group Co., Ltd. provides express delivery services in China. The company offers express products; transshipment and other related services; warehouse and distribution solutions for upstream and downstream customers; and collection, sorting, transfer, and delivery services.
Full company description
Yunda Holding Group Co., Ltd. provides express delivery services in China. The company offers express products; transshipment and other related services; warehouse and distribution solutions for upstream and downstream customers; and collection, sorting, transfer, and delivery services. It also provides value-added services, including cash on delivery, insured business, store transfer, signed receipt return, reverse logistics, privacy bill, and scheduled delivery services. In addition, the company is involved in the sale of packaging materials, machinery, equipment, accessories, food, edible agricultural products, and petroleum products; investment management; cargo transportation and forwarding; online trade agent; internet, information, automation, and intelligent technology; technology development, transfer, and promotion; venture capital; technical, business, and information; business, information, financial, management, express, and enterprise management consulting; internet retail and agency; supply chain management; cargo freight and handling; e-commerce; house and non-residential real estate leasing; road transport of goods; advertising and marketing; art consulting and planning; property management; leasing of cars and equipment; manufacture of computer hardware and software; and smart device activities. Further, it engages in the wholesale and retail of medical equipment; online sale of daily necessities; commodity trading; leasing park management; engineering construction; business agency; software development; conference and exhibition; loading and unloading; wholesale of finished oil; import and export of goods and technologies; Internet of Things technology research and development; and network technology activities. The company was formerly known as YUNDA Holding Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Yunda Holding Group Co., Ltd. in November 2024. Yunda Holding Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yunda Holding reported revenue of ¥51.5B in FY2025 versus ¥41.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.2B in FY2025, compounding −5.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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