Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 19, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd stock ¥1.07, price ¥5.10, upside -79.0%, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.11 – ¥10.40 · fair‑value band ¥0.6300 – ¥1.42 · the ¥5.10 price screens above the ¥1.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co.,Ltd researches, develops, produces, and sells pesticides, fungicides, insecticides, herbicides, and fine chemical intermediates in China and internationally. It offers carbendazim, thiophanate-methyl, cycloazinone, carbosulfan butyl, sulfuric acid, and surfactant.
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Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co.,Ltd was founded in 1976 and is based in Xinyi, China.
Stock analysis
Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513) currently trades at ¥5.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.07, 79.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 84/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: ¥0.6300 (bear) to ¥1.42 (bull), the price of ¥5.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −191M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.9B CNY (≈ $287M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.91 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5500 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin −8.5% · Return on equity −118% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.6% · Operating margin −11.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 5 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 22% fair-value upside, at −79%, 002513 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥0.6300Fair Value ¥1.07Bull¥1.42
Price ¥5.10 · Upside -79.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.8% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.5% (2020) → −5.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 161 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−79.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−4.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−8.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−11.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−6.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity7.88× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
P/B43.84× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)0.80× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 26
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)30· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002513
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.07 versus a price of ¥5.10, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002513?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd is ¥1.07 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.10.
What is the quality score of 002513?
Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.07 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.6300, optimistic scenario ¥1.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.07, about −79% upside versus a price of ¥5.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.6300, optimistic scenario ¥1.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.48% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd it is ¥1.07 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ¥5.10. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 002513 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.10, fair value ¥1.07, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002513?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.07). For Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd the two are ¥4.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd worth?
The market values Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd at about 1.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.10; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002513?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.6300, base ¥1.07, optimistic ¥1.42 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ¥5.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −118.0%, debt of 7.88 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002513 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd trades at ¥5.10, about 48% below its 52-week high of ¥9.75 and 18% above the low of ¥4.33 (as of Oct 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, Yara International ASA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ¥5.10, calculated fair value ¥1.07 (−79%), Quality Score 40/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002513 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
The closing price on Oct 19, 2026 was ¥5.10. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.07, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.6300 to ¥1.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd is 1.9B CNY (≈ $287M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd is 0.91 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd are ¥−0.5500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd is 1.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd is −8.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd is −118% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd is −13.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd is −11.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd is growing −6.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd are growing −25.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd is −521M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd (002513) carry?
The net debt of Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co Ltd is 194M CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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