Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co (002523) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +10.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.93 – ¥4.92 · fair‑value band ¥1.33 – ¥2.21 · the ¥3.28 price screens above the ¥1.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co (002523) currently trades at ¥3.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.77, implying the stock looks roughly 46.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co generated revenue of 2.1B CNY at a net margin of 5.5%. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 769M CNY. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 41.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.33 (bear case) to ¥2.21 (bull case); at ¥3.28, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -46%, 002523 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.62) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells material handling equipment for electrolytic aluminum, steel, construction machinery, and non-ferrous industries in China and internationally.
Full company description
Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells material handling equipment for electrolytic aluminum, steel, construction machinery, and non-ferrous industries in China and internationally. The company offers PTM pot tending and FTM furnace tending machines, anode stacking and insulation overhead cranes, centralized overhaul transfer systems of pots, and automatic storage systems of anode carbon blocks; numerical control cranes and cranes for power stations; and cranes for copper electrolysis, copper smelting, lead electrolysis, and zinc electrowinning, as well as automatic treatment systems of copper slag tanks. It also provides ladle, charging, slab handling, electromagnetic beam, overhead stacking, and steel plate transfer cranes; and graphitized new material suction/feeding cranes. Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co., Ltd. was founded in 1956 and is based in Zhuzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.8B in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥119M in FY2025, compounding +18.7%/yr from FY2021.
002523 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $952.41 | $307.83 | -68% |
| Deere & Company DE | $597.24 | $187.86 | -69% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 336.60 | kr 288.08 | -14% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $126.20 | $94.80 | -25% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 251.90 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €69.40 | €219.41 | +216% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.65 | ¥20.84 | +12% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.39 | ¥11.79 | +41% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.00 | HK$53.51 | +31% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.00 | +30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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