Stanley Agriculture Group (002588) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 10.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥12.75 to ¥7.93 (−37.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +4.6% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥4.54 to ¥11.85). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.46 – ¥11.46 · fair‑value band ¥4.54 – ¥11.85 · the ¥8.65 price screens above the ¥7.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Stanley Agriculture Group (002588) currently trades at ¥8.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.93, implying the stock looks roughly 8.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Stanley Agriculture Group generated revenue of 12.9B CNY at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue grew 19.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. Net debt stands at 616M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.54 (bear case) to ¥11.85 (bull case); at ¥8.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -8%, 002588 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥12.98) versus Asset-Based (¥4.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Stanley Agriculture Group Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of compound and bulk blending fertilizers under the Stanley brand in China.
Full company description
Stanley Agriculture Group Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of compound and bulk blending fertilizers under the Stanley brand in China. The company offers sanan, phosphate, the fourth element, water soluble, nitro, power sulfur-based, zinc power, and terry fertilizers, as well as other products. It also engages in grain storage; agricultural information consultation; agriculture technology promotion; agricultural trade; educate; technology research; and grain purchase and sale activities. The company serves growers, family farms, and agricultural cooperatives. The company was formerly known as Stanley Fertilizer Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Stanley Agriculture Group Co.,Ltd. in July 2016. Stanley Agriculture Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Linyi, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Stanley Agriculture Group reported revenue of ¥12.3B in FY2025 versus ¥6.4B in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.0B in FY2025, compounding +24.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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