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Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co (002597) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 12.2B CNY

AJ Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co 002597 · SHE
Price¥20.25
Fair Value¥14.86
Upside-26.6%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.91% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.15 – ¥18.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥10.38 to ¥14.86 (+43.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +4.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥47.29 ¥15.26 Fair Value ¥14.86 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥15.26 – ¥47.29 · fair‑value band ¥11.15 – ¥18.58 · the ¥20.25 price screens above the ¥14.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co (002597) currently trades at ¥20.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.86, implying the stock looks roughly 26.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co generated revenue of 5.1B CNY at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue grew 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 964M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.15 (bear case) to ¥18.58 (bull case); at ¥20.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -27%, 002597 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥10.48 ¥10.61 ¥9.99 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.34 ¥6.17 ¥6.89 72
Gordon GGM ¥7.96 ¥13.19 ¥19.31 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.15 ¥9.48 ¥12.15 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.58 ¥2.25 ¥2.93 46
EPV ¥5.34 ¥6.17 ¥6.89 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥7.96 ¥13.19 ¥19.31 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥7.96 ¥11.67 ¥15.81 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.79 ¥10.38 ¥12.98 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.79 ¥10.38 ¥12.98 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.79 ¥10.38 ¥12.98 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.40 ¥9.74 ¥12.08 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.79 ¥15.59 ¥19.40 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.47 ¥9.07 ¥11.68 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.87 ¥9.20 ¥13.73 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.48 ¥10.61 ¥9.99 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.34 ¥6.17 ¥6.89 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.94 ¥8.48 ¥11.02 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥11.67) versus Earnings-Based (¥6.17). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.4%
Net margin 3.9%
Return on equity 2.6%
Free cash flow −413M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 59.6
More key figures
Operating margin 8.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3600
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -61.4%
Net cash 964M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of food additives, daily chemical fragrances, bulk chemicals, and specialty chemicals in China and internationally.

Full company description

Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of food additives, daily chemical fragrances, bulk chemicals, and specialty chemicals in China and internationally. The company offers food additives comprising sweeteners consisting of acesulfame and sucralose; and spices, including methyl maltol, ethyl maltol, methyl cyclopentenolone, and glucosyl steviol glycosides. It also provides daily chemicals consisting of maltol, musk-jinhe, and nootkatone; functional intermediates, including 2-(chloromethyl)-3,4-dimethoxypyridine hydrochloride, and methyl acetoacetate, as well as pharmaceutical and pesticide intermediates, and animal feed additives; dichlorosulfonimide acid, bi(trifluoroethoxy)tetrafluoroethyl phosphate, bis(chlorosulfonyl)imide acid, erythritol divinyl sulfate, ethoxypentafluorocyclotriphosphazene, and lithium sulfide; PI alignment agents and wet electronic chemicals; bulk chemicals, such as hydrogen peroxide, melamine, formic acid, formaldehyde, sulfur dioxide, sulfur trioxide, sulfuric acid, nitric acid, ethyl chloride, methyl chloride, liquid ammonia, and ammonium bicarbonate. In addition, the company engages in the research and promotion of food application technology; photovoltaic and biomass power generation; solid chemical waste treatment; research and development of comprehensive utilization and environmental protection, chemical materials, and biochemical product technologies; management consulting; manufacture of computer, communication, and other electronic equipment; investment; technical services; technology development, promotion, and application; private fund; and asset management plan activities. It serves the food and beverage, daily consumption, medicine and health, agricultural environmental protection, and advanced manufacturing industries. Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Chuzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co reported revenue of ¥4.9B in FY2025 versus ¥5.8B in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥347M in FY2025, compounding −26.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 27/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+8.8%
Revenue −4.3%/yr
FY21 ¥5.8B
FY22 ¥7.3B
FY23 ¥5.3B
FY24 ¥5.3B
FY25 ¥4.9B
Net income −26.3%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.7B
FY23 ¥704M
FY24 ¥557M
FY25 ¥347M

002597 screens 27% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002597

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −27% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 59.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.56× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.38× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 82 · sector 20
PAST 10 · sector 19
HEALTH 95 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 18 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co (002597) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.86 versus a price of ¥20.25, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002597?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co is ¥14.86 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥20.25.
What is the quality score of 002597?
Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co (002597)?
Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002597?
The net profit margin of Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co is about 3.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co pay a dividend?
Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.91% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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