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Guangdong Hongda Holdings (002683) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 23.2B CNY

Price¥30.21
Fair Value¥23.87
Upside-21.0%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥16.06 – ¥34.33

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

Analysis

Guangdong Hongda Holdings (002683) currently trades at ¥30.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥23.87 — implying the stock looks roughly 21.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides mining and civil explosives services in China and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Mining Engineering Services; Production and Sales of Civil Explosives; and Defense Equipment. It engages in large and medium-sized open-pit mines, underground mines, and integrated mining operations, including geological exploration, scheme design and optimization, mine construction, mining, beneficiation, environmental remediation, and overall mine operation and management; and offers value-added services, such as mixed explosives, new energy equipment, mining development consulting, and investment and financing scheme design and optimization. The company is also involved in the research, development, production, and sale of fixed-wire and mixed explosives, as well as detonating devices; defense equipment comprising traditional ammunition, weaponry, aerospace components, and HMX products; …

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Hongda Holdings (002683) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥23.87 versus a price of ¥30.21 — about −21% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 002683?
Our 21-model fair value for Guangdong Hongda Holdings is ¥23.87 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥30.21.
What is the quality score of 002683?
Guangdong Hongda Holdings has a Quality Score of 80/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.