Maiquer Group (002719) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 1.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥3.77 to ¥1.08 (−71.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +3.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (¥0.7500 to ¥1.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.04 – ¥16.98 · fair‑value band ¥0.7500 – ¥1.40 · the ¥6.06 price screens above the ¥1.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Maiquer Group (002719) currently trades at ¥6.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.08, implying the stock looks roughly 82.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Maiquer Group generated revenue of 581M CNY at a net margin of -20.1%. Revenue declined 13.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -74.1%. Net debt stands at 40.5M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.7500 (bear case) to ¥1.40 (bull case); at ¥6.06, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -82%, 002719 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥1.36) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Maiquer Group CO.,LTD engages in the production and sale of dairy products and baked goods in China. The company offers alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, purified water, as well as pre-packaged foods. It also provides agricultural products; livestock breeding and agricultural cultivation services; and festival products.
Full company description
Maiquer Group CO.,LTD engages in the production and sale of dairy products and baked goods in China. The company offers alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, purified water, as well as pre-packaged foods. It also provides agricultural products; livestock breeding and agricultural cultivation services; and festival products. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Changji, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Maiquer Group reported revenue of ¥601M in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound −14.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥103M in FY2025.
002719 screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →
Peer Group
Food Distribution · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.69 | $60.58 | -26% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $99.13 | $55.10 | -44% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.17 | $37.94 | -66% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €17.68 | €21.59 | +22% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.90 THB | 17.04 THB | +14% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $95.79 | $37.27 | -61% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.33 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +59% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $50.19 | $6.00 | -88% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $79.24 | $47.78 | -40% |
| Metcash Limited MTS | A$2.92 | A$5.33 | +83% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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