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Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd stock ¥12.02, price ¥14.28, that is 15.8% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials CN · ISIN CNE1000027M8

SF Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd

002805 · SHE
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 16% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +45.5 %/yr in CNY)
Moderate debt
Profit last quarter 56% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥12.02 · Overvalued
Quality 35/100
Loss-making · -2.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 10/100
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥49.09 ¥8.99 Fair Value ¥12.02 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.99 – ¥49.09 · fair‑value band ¥9.02 – ¥15.03 · the ¥14.28 price screens above the ¥12.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the lithium battery positive electrode material business in China and internationally.

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The company offers lithium iron phosphate products, which are used in energy storage lithium batteries and power lithium batteries; ternary materials, which are used in power lithium batteries and digital fields; industrial oxalic acid; refined oxalic acid; and oxalic acid derivatives.

Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is based in Zaozhuang, China.

Stock analysis

Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805) currently trades at ¥14.28, while our estimate is ¥12.02, 16% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥9.02 (bear) to ¥15.03 (bull), the price of ¥14.28 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 803M CNY in FY2021, a compound +30.5%/yr. Reported net income was −485M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.0B CNY (≈ $600M) Small · P/S ratio 0.78 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3300 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin −2.0% · Return on equity −5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 5.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −16%, 002805 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥9.02 Fair Value ¥12.02 Bull ¥15.03
Price ¥14.28 · Downside -15.8%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 84
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 14
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 90
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 34
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 22
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 67
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+56.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+45.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.9% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−11.3% (2020) → −11.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

002805 screens overvalued: fair value 16% below the price. Compare with BASF SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 354 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −15.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −9.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −2.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 5.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 432.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.68× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.66× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.82× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 12.5× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)12 · sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 70
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)66 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)31 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 238,000 KRW 587,755 KRW +147% vs 002805
Dow Inc DOW $30.96 $41.88 +35% vs 002805
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.50 ¥19.26 +17% vs 002805
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.90 ¥22.31 +7% vs 002805
BASF SE BAS €54.54 €38.46 −29% vs 002805
Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong Co 000301 ¥10.16 ¥6.28 −38% vs 002805
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥33.10 ¥19.31 −42% vs 002805
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 71.50 TWD 35.56 TWD −50% vs 002805
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥11.74 ¥3.45 −71% vs 002805
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥66.00 ¥17.47 −74% vs 002805

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Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002805

Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥12.02 versus a price of ¥14.28, about 16% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002805?
Our estimate for Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd is ¥12.02 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.28.
What is the quality score of 002805?
Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥12.02 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥9.02, optimistic scenario ¥15.03. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ¥12.02, about 16% lower versus a price of ¥14.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥9.02, optimistic scenario ¥15.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.56% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 1.6%.
What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd it is ¥12.02 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥14.28.
Is Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 002805 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥14.28, fair value ¥12.02, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002805?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥14.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥12.02). For Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd the two are ¥2.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd at about 4.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥14.28; our models calculate a fair value of ¥12.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002805?
Our models span a range for Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥9.02, base ¥12.02, optimistic ¥15.03 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥14.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −5.5%, debt of 0.68 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002805 from its 52-week high?
Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd trades at ¥14.28, about 52% below its 52-week high of ¥29.57 and 11% above the low of ¥12.82 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥12.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Rongsheng Petrochemical Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥14.28, calculated fair value ¥12.02 (−16%), Quality Score 35/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2% above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥14.28. Our estimate is ¥12.02, about 16% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd right now?
Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
The market capitalisation of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd is 4.0B CNY (≈ $600M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd is 0.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd are ¥−0.3300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
The dividend yield of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
The net margin of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd is −2.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd is −5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd is −3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
The operating margin of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
Revenue at Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd is growing +432% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd are growing −56.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805) generate?
The free cash flow of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd is −362M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd (002805) carry?
The net debt of Shandong Fengyuan Chemical Co Ltd is 1.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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