Xizang Gaozheng Civil Explosives Co (002827) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 7.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +130.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥9.05 to ¥18.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.87 – ¥56.10 · fair‑value band ¥9.05 – ¥18.67 · the ¥54.16 price screens above the ¥12.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Xizang Gaozheng Civil Explosives Co (002827) currently trades at ¥54.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.07, implying the stock looks roughly 77.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xizang Gaozheng Civil Explosives Co generated revenue of 1.8B CNY at a net margin of 10.4%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.5%. Net debt stands at 57.0M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.05 (bear case) to ¥18.67 (bull case); at ¥54.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -78%, 002827 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥16.39) versus Asset-Based (¥3.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xizang Gaozheng Civil Explosives Co., Ltd. produces and sells civil explosives and blasting products in China. The company offers industrial explosives, electronic detonators, industrial fuses, industrial detonating cords, and electronic detonator chip modules.
Full company description
Xizang Gaozheng Civil Explosives Co., Ltd. produces and sells civil explosives and blasting products in China. The company offers industrial explosives, electronic detonators, industrial fuses, industrial detonating cords, and electronic detonator chip modules. It also offers transportation services for dangerous goods, road general cargo transportation, bulk commodity transportation, general cargo warehousing services, domestic freight forwarding, motor vehicle repair, armed escort, armed guard, security services, and labor dispatch. Its products are widely used in mining, water conservancy and hydropower, transportation construction, urban redevelopment, geological exploration, blasting services, and national defense sectors. Xizang Gaozheng Civil Explosives Co., Ltd. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Lhasa, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xizang Gaozheng Civil Explosives Co reported revenue of ¥1.8B in FY2025 versus ¥933M in FY2021, a compound +18.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥197M in FY2025, compounding +39.1%/yr from FY2021.
002827 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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