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Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation (002895) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 19.5B CNY

GC Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation 002895 · SHE
Price¥35.10
Fair Value¥35.36
Upside+0.7%
Quality46/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.51% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥21.72 – ¥49.86 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +15.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥21.72 to ¥49.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥42.07 ¥8.09 Fair Value ¥35.36 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.09 – ¥42.07 · fair‑value band ¥21.72 – ¥49.86 · the ¥35.10 price screens below the ¥35.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation (002895) currently trades at ¥35.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥35.36, implying the stock looks roughly 0.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation generated revenue of 8.7B CNY at a net margin of 14.4%. Revenue grew 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.3%. Net debt stands at 841M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥21.72 (bear case) to ¥49.86 (bull case); at ¥35.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 1%, 002895 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥8.75 ¥15.75 ¥27.22 80
Residual Income ¥13.64 ¥16.97 ¥39.14 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥16.39 ¥31.40 ¥61.45 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥9.20 ¥13.53 ¥27.34 38
Owner Earnings ¥36.42 ¥80.80 ¥173.96 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥15.38 ¥27.69 ¥53.63 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥23.94 ¥44.99 ¥86.41 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥23.73 ¥55.94 ¥100.66 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥13.20 ¥32.25 ¥46.00 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥20.10 ¥50.67 ¥106.51 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥19.95 ¥50.23 ¥101.96 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥14.14 ¥98.63 ¥138.42 54
Lynch FV ¥44.32 ¥63.31 ¥82.31 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥44.32 ¥63.31 ¥82.31 46
EPV ¥25.17 ¥29.09 ¥32.52 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥13.60 ¥28.28 ¥44.87 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥13.60 ¥23.85 ¥29.68 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥26.52 ¥35.36 ¥44.20 63
P/S Multiple ¥15.46 ¥20.62 ¥25.77 58
P/B Multiple ¥26.52 ¥35.36 ¥44.20 55
EV/EBIT ¥31.30 ¥41.19 ¥51.08 53
EV/EBITDA ¥28.43 ¥37.36 ¥46.29 54
EV/Revenue ¥16.07 ¥22.25 ¥28.44 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.36 ¥8.52 ¥12.72 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥8.75 ¥15.75 ¥27.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥16.39 ¥31.40 ¥61.45 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥13.64 ¥16.97 ¥39.14 76
ROIC Compounder ¥34.19 ¥55.24 ¥68.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥55.81 ¥79.74 ¥103.66 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥79.74) versus Asset-Based (¥8.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.1%
Net margin 14.4%
Return on equity 16.3%
Free cash flow 272M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 15.1
More key figures
Operating margin 15.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥2.13
Dividend yield 5.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -14.0%
Net debt 841M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 10
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation engages in the mining and beneficiation of phosphate and processing of phosphorus in China.

Full company description

Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation engages in the mining and beneficiation of phosphate and processing of phosphorus in China. The company offers raw materials, including merchant and purified phosphoric acid, anhydrous hydrogen fluoride, rock phosphate, and phosphorus ore concentrates; battery materials comprising iron phosphate, lithium iron phosphate, and lithium hexafluorophosphate; and feed additives. It also provides calcium dihydrogen phosphate, commercial phosphoric acid, calcium hydrogen phosphate, mixed fertilizer, water-soluble fertilizers and blended fertilizers, phosphate rock, ammonium polyphosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and purification of phosphoric acid. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Fuquan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation reported revenue of ¥8.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound +34.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.3B in FY2025, compounding +36.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+41.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+34.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+36.2%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+21.6%
Revenue +34.7%/yr
FY21 ¥2.5B
FY22 ¥3.4B
FY23 ¥4.3B
FY24 ¥5.9B
FY25 ¥8.3B
Net income +36.1%/yr
FY21 ¥368M
FY22 ¥759M
FY23 ¥766M
FY24 ¥956M
FY25 ¥1.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002895

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.53× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.25× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 34 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 20
PAST 65 · sector 19
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation (002895) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥35.36 versus a price of ¥35.10, about +1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002895?
Our model-based fair value for Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation is ¥35.36 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥35.10.
What is the quality score of 002895?
Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation (002895)?
Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002895?
The net profit margin of Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation is about 14.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation pay a dividend?
Guizhou Chanhen Chemical Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.51% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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