Foran Energy Group (002911) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 14.5B CNY

A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• Our model range runs from ¥10.41 (bear) to ¥17.34 (bull), base ¥13.88. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.21 – ¥17.43 · fair‑value band ¥10.41 – ¥17.34 · the ¥10.95 price screens below the ¥13.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Foran Energy Group (002911) currently trades at ¥10.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.88, implying the stock looks roughly 26.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Foran Energy Group generated revenue of 32.8B CNY at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue declined 12.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 353M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥10.41 (bear case) to ¥17.34 (bull case); at ¥10.95, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 27%, 002911 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥27.63) versus Asset-Based (¥4.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Foran Energy Group Co., Ltd. transports and sells natural gas in China. The company engages in the provision of energy services, such as petrochemical products, hydrogen and thermal energy, photovoltaics, energy storage, and green methanol; research, development, and manufacture of fuel cells, hydrogen energy equipment, pipeline testing, and kiln thermal …

Full company description

Foran Energy Group Co., Ltd. transports and sells natural gas in China. The company engages in the provision of energy services, such as petrochemical products, hydrogen and thermal energy, photovoltaics, energy storage, and green methanol; research, development, and manufacture of fuel cells, hydrogen energy equipment, pipeline testing, and kiln thermal equipment; and petrochemical and natural gas supply chain, and life service business. It also provides pipeline inspection and information management, gas engineering, and energy conservation, and emission reduction services. The company holds 13 regional pipeline gas business franchise rights. The company was formerly known as Foshan Gas Group Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Foran Energy Group Co., Ltd. in March 2020. Foran Energy Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Foran Energy Group reported revenue of ¥33.8B in FY2025 versus ¥13.5B in FY2021, a compound +25.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.0B in FY2025, compounding +13.9%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.