Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co (002921) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price −15.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 35% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥9.92 to ¥22.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.28 – ¥32.60 · fair‑value band ¥9.92 – ¥22.90 · the ¥23.08 price screens above the ¥14.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co (002921) currently trades at ¥23.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.98, implying the stock looks roughly 35.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue grew 22.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.6%. Net debt stands at 403M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.92 (bear case) to ¥22.90 (bull case); at ¥23.08, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -35%, 002921 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.95) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.04). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, production, and sales of various precision mechanical parts in China. The company manufactures metal components and metal parts through casting, forging, and machining.
Full company description
Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, production, and sales of various precision mechanical parts in China. The company manufactures metal components and metal parts through casting, forging, and machining. Its precision mechanical parts, including hydraulic travel motor housing/rear end cover, reducer housing, hydraulic valve seat, crankcase, crankshaft cover, bearing seat, suspension bracket, shock absorber wheel/ring, shock absorber accessory housing, automobile water pump housing, industrial robot base, big arm, swivel seat, connector and more. The company's products are used in commercial compressors, hydraulic machinery, commercial vehicles, construction machinery, agricultural machinery, passenger cars, new energy, industrial robots, diesel engines, solar thermal power generation, environmental water treatment, high-speed rail and other industries. It also exports its products to North America, South America, Europe, Asia, the Oceania, and internationally. Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Jining, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥14.5M in FY2025.
002921 screens 35% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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