Zhejiang XinNong Chemical Co (002942) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 2.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥10.80 to ¥10.41 (−3.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +8.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.47 – ¥25.83 · fair‑value band ¥7.80 – ¥13.01 · the ¥15.76 price screens above the ¥10.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Zhejiang XinNong Chemical Co (002942) currently trades at ¥15.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.41, implying the stock looks roughly 34.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang XinNong Chemical Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 8.7%. Revenue grew 13.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 108M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.80 (bear case) to ¥13.01 (bull case); at ¥15.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -34%, 002942 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.78) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhejiang XinNong Chemical Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells chemical pesticide technical, preparations and fine chemical intermediates in China. It operates through two segments: Technical Drugs and Intermediates, and Preparations.
Full company description
Zhejiang XinNong Chemical Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells chemical pesticide technical, preparations and fine chemical intermediates in China. It operates through two segments: Technical Drugs and Intermediates, and Preparations. The Technical Drugs and Intermediates segment produces triazophos technical, chlorpyrifos technical, zinc thiazole technical, pyraclostrobin technical, as well as intermediates such as ethyl chloride, N-(1-ethylpropyl)-3,4-dimethylaniline, phenylhydrazine and its salts, and 1,3-cyclohexanedione, which are primarily used in the synthesis of pesticides and pharmaceuticals. The Preparations segment offers zinc thiazole series preparations for bacterial diseases, pyraclostrobin series preparations for fungal diseases, chlorpyrifos series preparations for pest control, and triazophos series preparations for lepidopteran pests and mites. It also provides microbial agents and fertilizers. The company also exports its products to Southeast Asia, Europe, the United States, Australia, and Africa. Zhejiang XinNong Chemical Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1981 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhejiang XinNong Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥95.4M in FY2025, compounding −8.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
002942 screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →
Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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