Fairwood Holdings (0052) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$584M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +6.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from HK$4.47 (bear) to HK$7.54 (bull), base HK$6.04. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$3.77 – HK$14.36 · fair‑value band HK$4.47 – HK$7.54 · the HK$4.77 price screens below the HK$6.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Fairwood Holdings (0052) currently trades at HK$4.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.04, implying the stock looks roughly 26.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Fairwood Holdings generated revenue of HK$3.1B at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at HK$398M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$4.47 (bear case) to HK$7.54 (bull case); at HK$4.77, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at 27%, 0052 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$28.89) versus Earnings-Based (HK$1.42). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Fairwood Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates fast food restaurants. The company operates stores in Hong Kong, including fast food restaurants and specialty restaurants under the ASAP, Taiwan Bowl, The Leaf Kitchen, and Kenting Tea House brands; and stores in Mainland China.
Full company description
Fairwood Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates fast food restaurants. The company operates stores in Hong Kong, including fast food restaurants and specialty restaurants under the ASAP, Taiwan Bowl, The Leaf Kitchen, and Kenting Tea House brands; and stores in Mainland China. It is also involved in the property investment; and trademark and restaurant license holding activities. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in North Point, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Fairwood Holdings reported revenue of HK$3.1B in FY2025 versus HK$2.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$35.5M in FY2025, compounding −30.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $108.49 | $35.83 | -67% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $32.00 | $17.92 | -44% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.34 | $58.17 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.50 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $218.90 | $173.68 | -21% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $47.90 | $54.27 | +13% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $214.28 | $104.89 | -51% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $51.02 | $12.80 | -75% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $353.72 | $227.31 | -36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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