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CAI Corp (0080) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$653M

CC CAI Corp 0080 · HK
PriceHK$0.2250
Fair ValueHK$0.1020
Upside-54.7%
Quality35/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0680 – HK$0.1275 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −16.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1275). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0680 to HK$0.1275) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.6200 HK$0.0387 Fair Value HK$0.1020 Feb 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0387 – HK$0.6200 · fair‑value band HK$0.0680 – HK$0.1275 · the HK$0.2250 price screens above the HK$0.1020 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

CAI Corp (0080) currently trades at HK$0.2250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1020, implying the stock looks roughly 54.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$22.8K. Revenue declined 49.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -19.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$27.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0680 (bear case) to HK$0.1275 (bull case); at HK$0.2250, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 243% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -55%, 0080 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 55
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1200 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1200 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.1000) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$22.8K
Revenue growth (YoY) -49.0%
Return on equity -19.8%
Free cash flow −HK$213M FY2025
Operating margin -62,098%
Net cash HK$27.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 11
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CAI Corp is a mutual fund launched and managed by CITIC Securities International Investment Management (HK) Limited. It invests in public equity markets. China New Economy Fund Limited is domiciled in Cayman Islands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CAI Corp reported revenue of −HK$5.2M in FY2025 versus −HK$35.9M in FY2021. Reported net income was −HK$31.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2018)
HK$9.4M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+175.4%
Revenue
FY21 −HK$35.9M
FY22 −HK$8.8M
FY23 −HK$59.0M
FY24 −HK$2.8M
FY25 −HK$5.2M
Net income
FY21 −HK$5.0M
FY22 −HK$52.7M
FY23 −HK$52.4M
FY24 −HK$29.0M
FY25 −HK$31.7M

0080 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CAI Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0080

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −55% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth -49% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.32× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CAI Corp (0080) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1020 versus a price of HK$0.2250, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0080?
Our model-based fair value for CAI Corp is HK$0.1020 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2250.
What is the quality score of 0080?
CAI Corp has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CAI Corp (0080)?
CAI Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$22.8K (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0080?
The net profit margin of CAI Corp is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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