STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what STELUX Holdings International Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0430 – HK$0.1100 · fair‑value band HK$0.1850 – HK$0.2326 · the HK$0.0680 price screens below the HK$0.2054 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Stelux Holdings International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading, wholesale and retail of watches in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, the rest of Asia, and Europe.
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Stelux Holdings International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading, wholesale and retail of watches in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, the rest of Asia, and Europe. The company is involved in the distribution of clocks and watches, including the Seiko, Cyma, Credor, and Grand Seiko brands; watch supply chain management activities; manufacture of watch movement; and owning and operation of online stores under the Solvil et Titus and City Chain brands. It also engages in property investment, management, and agency activities; and holds and licenses trademarks. The company was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in San Po Kong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084) currently trades at HK$0.0680, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2054, implying the stock looks roughly 66.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.5900 per share, and 11 of the 11 models we run sit above the HK$0.0680 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at HK$0.2800, and 0 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1850 (bear) to HK$0.2326 (bull), the price of HK$0.0680 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
STELUX Holdings International Ltd reported revenue of HK$621M in FY2026 versus HK$693M in FY2022, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$47.2M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$70.5M (≈ $9.0M) · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0900 · Net margin −7.6% · Return on equity −5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.1% · Operating margin −7.4% · Revenue (TTM) HK$621M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 202%, 0084 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1850Fair Value HK$0.2054Bull HK$0.2326
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.5%
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−14.6% (2021) → −10.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare STELUX Holdings International Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 130 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−56% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "STELUX Holdings International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0084.HK
Frequently asked questions
Is STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2054 versus a price of HK$0.0680, about +202% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0084?
Our model-based fair value for STELUX Holdings International Ltd is HK$0.2054 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0680.
What is the quality score of 0084?
STELUX Holdings International Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2054 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1850, optimistic scenario HK$0.2326. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the STELUX Holdings International Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2054, about +202% upside versus a price of HK$0.0680 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1850, optimistic scenario HK$0.2326. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
STELUX Holdings International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$621M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, STELUX Holdings International Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +4.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.6 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0084 use?
Our models discount STELUX Holdings International Ltd at 13.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For STELUX Holdings International Ltd that is +4.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at STELUX Holdings International Ltd grew -2.6 % a year. The price currently implies +4.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into STELUX Holdings International Ltd (+4.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.53 %: that much free cash flow STELUX Holdings International Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For STELUX Holdings International Ltd it is HK$0.2054 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0680. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is STELUX Holdings International Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 0084 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0680, fair value HK$0.2054, a gap of about +202% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0084?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0680); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2054). For STELUX Holdings International Ltd the two are HK$0.1374 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is STELUX Holdings International Ltd worth?
The market values STELUX Holdings International Ltd at about HK$70.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0680; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2054 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0084?
Our models span a range for STELUX Holdings International Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1850, base HK$0.2054, optimistic HK$0.2326 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$0.0680). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
Balance-sheet figures for STELUX Holdings International Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −5.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0084 from its 52-week high?
STELUX Holdings International Ltd trades at HK$0.0680, about 23% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0880 and 36% above the low of HK$0.0500 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2054 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to STELUX Holdings International Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Hermès International Société en commandite par actions, Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is STELUX Holdings International Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$0.0680, calculated fair value HK$0.2054 (+202%), Quality Score 43/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0084 calculated?
We run STELUX Holdings International Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2054, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. STELUX Holdings International Ltd currently trades 202 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with STELUX Holdings International Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1850). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of STELUX Holdings International Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
The market capitalisation of STELUX Holdings International Ltd is HK$70.5M (≈ $9.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
The price-to-sales ratio of STELUX Holdings International Ltd is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
Earnings per share at STELUX Holdings International Ltd are HK$−0.0900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
The net margin of STELUX Holdings International Ltd is −7.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
The return on equity (ROE) of STELUX Holdings International Ltd is −5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of STELUX Holdings International Ltd is −2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
The operating margin of STELUX Holdings International Ltd is −7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084)?
Revenue at STELUX Holdings International Ltd is growing +3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does STELUX Holdings International Ltd (0084) carry?
The net debt of STELUX Holdings International Ltd is HK$140M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 8.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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