Henderson Investment Ltd (0097) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$472M (≈ $60.2M) · ISIN HK0097000571

What is Henderson Investment Ltd really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.5600). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0920 – HK$0.3764 · fair‑value band HK$0.5600 – HK$1.00 · the HK$0.1380 price screens below the HK$0.7800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Henderson Investment Ltd (0097) currently trades at HK$0.1380, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7800, implying the stock looks roughly 82.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$1.12 per share, and 11 of the 11 models we run sit above the HK$0.1380 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.2200, and 0 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Henderson Investment Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.5B at a net margin of −4.6%. Revenue declined 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −6.5%. Net debt stands at HK$306M. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.5600 (bear case) to HK$1.00 (bull case); at HK$0.1380, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 465%, 0097 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.12) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.2200). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Henderson Investment Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the operation of department stores and supermarkets in Hong Kong. It operates department stores under the Citistore name; a household specialty store under the Citilife name; department stores-cum-supermarkets under the APITA or UNY name; and supermarkets under the UNY name.

Full company description

Henderson Investment Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the operation of department stores and supermarkets in Hong Kong. It operates department stores under the Citistore name; a household specialty store under the Citilife name; department stores-cum-supermarkets under the APITA or UNY name; and supermarkets under the UNY name. The company is based in Central, Hong Kong. Henderson Investment Limited operates as a subsidiary of Henderson Land Development Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Henderson Investment Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.5B in FY2025 versus HK$1.8B in FY2021, a compound −4.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$67.0M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Department Stores · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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