Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd HK$0.29, price HK$0.20, upside +44.7%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1460 – HK$0.9173 · fair‑value band HK$0.1325 – HK$0.5460 · the HK$0.2000 price screens below the HK$0.2894 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Guangdong Land Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in and develops properties in Mainland China. It engages in property development and investment business. The company was formerly known as Kingway Brewery Holdings Limited and changed its name to Guangdong Land Holdings Limited in September 2013.
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Guangdong Land Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in and develops properties in Mainland China. It engages in property development and investment business. The company was formerly known as Kingway Brewery Holdings Limited and changed its name to Guangdong Land Holdings Limited in September 2013. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Guangdong Investment Limited.
Stock analysis
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124) currently trades at HK$0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2894, implying the stock looks roughly 30.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$1.19 per share, and 9 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$0.2000 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.3100, and 0 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1325 (bear) to HK$0.5460 (bull), the price of HK$0.2000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$8.6B in FY2025 versus HK$6.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$590M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$342M (≈ $43.6M) · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.2500 · Net margin −6.9% · Return on equity −15.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% · Operating margin −7.3% · Revenue (TTM) HK$8.6B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 45%, 0124 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1325Fair Value HK$0.2894Bull HK$0.5460
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.1870 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +25.9% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
69.9% (2020) → 4.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 574 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+44.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−6.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−7.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−28.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.74× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0124
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2894 versus a price of HK$0.2000, about +45% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0124?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2894 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2000.
What is the quality score of 0124?
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2894 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1325, optimistic scenario HK$0.5460. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2894, about +45% upside versus a price of HK$0.2000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1325, optimistic scenario HK$0.5460. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$8.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2894 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2000. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0124 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2000, fair value HK$0.2894, a gap of about +45% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0124?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2894). For Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0894 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd at about HK$342M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2000; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2894 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0124?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1325, base HK$0.2894, optimistic HK$0.5460 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −15.8%, debt of 3.74 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0124 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.2000, about 30% below its 52-week high of HK$0.2850 and 5% above the low of HK$0.1900 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2894 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2000, calculated fair value HK$0.2894 (+45%), Quality Score 59/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0124 calculated?
We run Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2894, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd currently trades 31 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2000. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2894, about +45% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1325 to HK$0.5460). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd is HK$342M (≈ $43.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd is 0.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd are HK$0.2500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
The net margin of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd is −6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd is −15.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd is −7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
Revenue at Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd is growing −28.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +83.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd are growing −85.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd is HK$2.8B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd (0124) carry?
The net debt of Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd is HK$14.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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