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Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd HK$0.10, price HK$0.09, upside +13.3%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · HK · ISIN BMG9430N1039

WH Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd

0169 · HK

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value HK$0.0997 · Undervalued (+13%)
!Quality 64/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −29.1 %/yr)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (6/9)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.7500 HK$0.0830 Fair Value HK$0.0997 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0830 – HK$0.7500 · fair‑value band HK$0.0680 – HK$0.1488 · the HK$0.0880 price screens below the HK$0.0997 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Wanda Hotel Development Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading and property leasing business in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Leasing of investment properties, and Trading and leasing of overseas properties.

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Wanda Hotel Development Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading and property leasing business in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Leasing of investment properties, and Trading and leasing of overseas properties. The company was formerly known as Wanda Commercial Properties (Group) Co., Limited and changed its name to Wanda Hotel Development Company Limited in October 2014. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Wanda Hotel Development Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Wanda Commercial Properties Overseas Limited.

Stock analysis

Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169) currently trades at HK$0.0880, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0997, implying the stock looks roughly 11.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.7700 per share, and 13 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$0.0880 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.1700, and 0 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0680 (bear) to HK$0.1488 (bull), the price of HK$0.0880 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$118M in FY2025 versus HK$873M in FY2021, a compound −39.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.8B in FY2025, compounding +66.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$493M (≈ $62.9M) · P/S ratio 4.19 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin 1,511% · Return on equity −3.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% · Operating margin −22.7% · Revenue (TTM) HK$118M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 88% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at 13%, 0169 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0680 Fair Value HK$0.0997 Bull HK$0.1488
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.8400 HK$1.13 HK$1.98 76
Growth DCF HK$0.7900 HK$1.21 HK$1.86 75
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4200 HK$0.5100 HK$0.6900 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.8400 HK$1.13 HK$1.98 76
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3800 HK$0.4500 HK$0.5600 72
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4200 HK$0.5100 HK$0.6900 74
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.5500 HK$0.7700 HK$0.8100 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.5700 HK$0.8200 HK$1.17 66
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$0.1200 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2000 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.5700 HK$0.7700 HK$0.9600 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.1500 HK$0.1700 HK$0.1800 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1800 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2400 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.1300 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1500 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1900 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3800 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.7900 HK$1.21 HK$1.86 75
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.67 HK$2.83 HK$54.07 56

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 28/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−88.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−47.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −25.3% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+23.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 11%
2025 sits 892% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 69 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/7 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −23% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.54× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)51 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)81 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

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Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $39.19 $54.02 +38%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$32.10 HK$46.74 +46%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$12.16 HK$18.87 +55%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $37.85 $17.73 −53%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $82.51 $146.53 +78%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $48.76 $18.01 −63%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $72.08 $144.08 +100%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.62 $80.92 +173%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6200 SGD 0.5600 SGD −10%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $138.98 $152.88 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0169

Frequently asked questions

Is Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0997 versus a price of HK$0.0880, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0169?
Our model-based fair value for Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd is HK$0.0997 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0880.
What is the quality score of 0169?
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0997 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0680, optimistic scenario HK$0.1488. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0997, about +13% upside versus a price of HK$0.0880 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0680, optimistic scenario HK$0.1488. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$118M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd it is HK$0.0997 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0880. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0169 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0880, fair value HK$0.0997, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0169?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0880); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0997). For Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd the two are HK$0.0117 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd worth?
The market values Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd at about HK$493M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0880; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0997 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0169?
Our models span a range for Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0680, base HK$0.0997, optimistic HK$0.1488 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.0880). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0169 from its 52-week high?
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd trades at HK$0.0880, about 88% below its 52-week high of HK$0.7200 and 6% above the low of HK$0.0830 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0997 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.0880, calculated fair value HK$0.0997 (+13%), Quality Score 64/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0169 calculated?
We run Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0997, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd currently trades 13 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.0880. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0997, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0680 to HK$0.1488) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
The market capitalisation of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd is HK$493M (≈ $62.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd is 4.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
Earnings per share at Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd are HK$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
The net margin of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd is 1,511% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd is −3.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
The operating margin of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd is −22.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
Revenue at Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd is growing +16.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −47.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169)?
Earnings per share at Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd are growing −80.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169) generate?
The free cash flow of Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd is HK$288M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd (0169) hold?
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$511M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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