Wanda Hotel Development Company (0169) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$493M
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.0700 to HK$0.0694 (−0.9%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price −1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0740). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0830 – HK$0.7500 · fair‑value band HK$0.0513 – HK$0.0740 · the HK$0.0960 price screens above the HK$0.0694 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Wanda Hotel Development Company (0169) currently trades at HK$0.0960, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0694, implying the stock looks roughly 27.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$118M. Revenue grew 16.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$511M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0513 (bear case) to HK$0.0740 (bull case); at HK$0.0960, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -28%, 0169 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (HK$3.30) versus Multiples (HK$0.1700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wanda Hotel Development Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading and property leasing business in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Leasing of investment properties, and Trading and leasing of overseas properties.
Full company description
Wanda Hotel Development Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading and property leasing business in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Leasing of investment properties, and Trading and leasing of overseas properties. The company was formerly known as Wanda Commercial Properties (Group) Co., Limited and changed its name to Wanda Hotel Development Company Limited in October 2014. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Wanda Hotel Development Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Wanda Commercial Properties Overseas Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wanda Hotel Development Company reported revenue of HK$118M in FY2025 versus HK$873M in FY2021, a compound −39.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.8B in FY2025, compounding +66.2%/yr from FY2021.
0169 screens 28% overvalued. Compare with Las Vegas Sands Corp →
Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $44.79 | $52.27 | +17% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$34.20 | HK$41.44 | +21% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$13.08 | HK$2.05 | -84% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $46.13 | $13.70 | -70% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $97.05 | $69.39 | -29% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $64.75 | $17.09 | -74% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $87.64 | $151.24 | +73% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.91 | $80.92 | +171% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6200 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +11% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $150.14 | $125.02 | -17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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