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Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd stock HK$0.18, price HK$0.26, that is 29.4% below the price, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate HK · ISIN BMG652161065

NH Nimble Holdings Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 12, 2026

Nimble Holdings Co Ltd

0186 · HK

Expensive (fair value 29% below the price), but solid company and rising price: meets 2 of 3 rules.

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Quality 61/100 
Rising price (uptrend) 
Low debt 
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +43.3 %/yr in HKD) 
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin (TTM) 
Mixed vs. peers (6/12) 
Profit last quarter 74% below a year ago. 
Fair value HK$0.1800 · Overvalued 
Negative free cash flow 
Narrow moat 39/100 · thin data
Thin data 
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.8400 HK$0.0750 Fair Value HK$0.1800 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0750 – HK$0.8400 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.2400 · the HK$0.2550 price screens above the HK$0.1800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 12, 2026.

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Company profile

Nimble Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property development and operation in the People's Republic of China and the United States. The company operates through PRC Property Development, Emerson, and PRC Household Appliances segments.

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It is also involved in the distribution of houseware and audio products; trading of household appliances, wires, and cables; provision of IT system development and related services; and licensing businesses, as well as provision management services.

The company was formerly known as The Grande Holdings Limited and changed its name to Nimble Holdings Company Limited in February 2018. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong. Nimble Holdings Company Limited is a subsidiary of Wealth Warrior Global Limited.

Stock analysis

Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186) currently trades at HK$0.2550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1800, 29% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$0.1900 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the HK$0.2550 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0700, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1300 (bear) to HK$0.2400 (bull), the price of HK$0.2550 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Nimble Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.2B in FY2026 versus HK$423M in FY2022, a compound +31.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$61.0M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.4B (≈ $173M) Micro · P/E ratio 33.0 · P/S ratio 1.62 · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 8.8% · Revenue (TTM) HK$1.2B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 240% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 41% fair-value upside, at −29%, 0186 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1300 Fair Value HK$0.1800 Bull HK$0.2400
Price HK$0.2550 · Downside -29.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.0900 73
Residual Income HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 71
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.0900 71
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1100 67
EPV HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.0900 73
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.1800 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3100 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2400 57
P/B Multiple HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2300 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.1700 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2500 65
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1400 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1900 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2000 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 71
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.0900 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1300 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2400 67

P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 40
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 76
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 72
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 71
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 83
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−22.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−22.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−34% → 5%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 15.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

0186 screens overvalued: fair value 29% below the price. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 491 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −29.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 11.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 6.4% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 8.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 747.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 33.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.53× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.42× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 69
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)45 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 62

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$29.92 HK$78.45 +162% vs 0186
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.23 ¥10.09 +93% vs 0186
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.19 HK$22.53 +85% vs 0186
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$49.24 HK$72.05 +46% vs 0186
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$110.90 HK$156.00 +41% vs 0186
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.48 ¥5.64 −25% vs 0186
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$10.38 HK$6.32 −39% vs 0186
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,220 ₹271.92 −78% vs 0186
DLF Limited DLF ₹758.75 ₹167.48 −78% vs 0186
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.22 $1.52 −82% vs 0186

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Nimble Holdings Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nimble Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0186

Frequently asked questions

Is Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1800 versus a price of HK$0.2550, about 29% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0186?
Our model-based fair value for Nimble Holdings Co Ltd is HK$0.1800 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2550.
What is the quality score of 0186?
Nimble Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1800 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nimble Holdings Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1800, about 29% lower versus a price of HK$0.2550 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
Nimble Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nimble Holdings Co Ltd it is HK$0.1800 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2550. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Nimble Holdings Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, 0186 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2550, fair value HK$0.1800, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0186?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2550); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1800). For Nimble Holdings Co Ltd the two are HK$0.0750 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nimble Holdings Co Ltd worth?
The market values Nimble Holdings Co Ltd at about HK$1.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2550; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0186?
Our models span a range for Nimble Holdings Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1300, base HK$0.1800, optimistic HK$0.2400 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price HK$0.2550). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0186?
Nimble Holdings Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.0 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.1800 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 28.3. Other multiples: P/B 3.5, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 15.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 11.2%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0186 from its 52-week high?
Nimble Holdings Co Ltd trades at HK$0.2550, about 48% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4950 and 240% above the low of HK$0.0750 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nimble Holdings Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nimble Holdings Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price HK$0.2550, calculated fair value HK$0.1800 (−29%), Quality Score 61/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0186 calculated?
We run Nimble Holdings Co Ltd through 12 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.1800 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Nimble Holdings Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.2550. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1800, about 29% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nimble Holdings Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1300 to HK$0.2400) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
The market capitalisation of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd is HK$1.4B (≈ $173M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd is 1.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
The net margin of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd is 4.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
The operating margin of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
Revenue at Nimble Holdings Co Ltd is growing 748% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186)?
Earnings per share at Nimble Holdings Co Ltd are down 74.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186) generate?
The free cash flow of Nimble Holdings Co Ltd is −HK$333M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Nimble Holdings Co Ltd (0186) hold?
Nimble Holdings Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$390M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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