Heng Tai Consumables Group Ltd (0197) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$57.5M (≈ $7.3M) · ISIN KYG440351149
What is Heng Tai Consumables Group Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 72% below our fair value of HK$1.63.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Heng Tai Consumables Group Ltd is HK$1.63 per share against a price of HK$0.4600, so the fair value sits 254% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +48.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.07). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$1.07 to HK$2.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1310 – HK$3.72 · fair‑value band HK$1.07 – HK$2.03 · the HK$0.4600 price screens below the HK$1.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Heng Tai Consumables Group Ltd (0197) currently trades at HK$0.4600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.63, implying the stock looks roughly 71.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$1.85 per share, and 3 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$0.4600 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$1.17, and 0 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Heng Tai Consumables Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$348M at a net margin of −57.6%. Revenue declined 33.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −30.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$51.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.07 (bear case) to HK$2.03 (bull case); at HK$0.4600, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 167% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 254%, 0197 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.85) versus Dividend Discount (HK$1.17). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Heng Tai Consumables Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading of packaged foods, beverages, and household consumables in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, FMCG Trading Business and Agri-Products Business.
Full company description
Heng Tai Consumables Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading of packaged foods, beverages, and household consumables in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, FMCG Trading Business and Agri-Products Business. The FMCG Trading Business segment offers packaged foods, such as biscuits, candies, chocolates, condiments, margarine and milk powder products, healthy foods, instant noodles, snacks, rice, potato chips, pasta, etc.; beverages, including soft drinks, fruit juices, etc.; and household consumable products comprising facial and toilet tissues, household cleaning products, etc. The Agri-Products Business segment engages in the cultivation, sale, and trading of fresh and processed fruits and vegetables. The company also provides livestock breeding, and treasury and administrative services; offers securities brokerage and margin financing services; operates Dongguan food processing center; and operates packing houses and distribution depots, as well as owns and operates Shanghai logistics center business. Heng Tai Consumables Group Limited was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Heng Tai Consumables Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$428M in FY2025 versus HK$520M in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$205M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Food Distribution · 81 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.94 | $59.83 | −27% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $107.78 | $53.53 | −50% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $107.25 | $37.94 | −65% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €18.00 | €21.59 | +20% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 17.42 THB | +18% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $111.07 | $37.27 | −66% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.04 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +104% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $43.62 | $6.00 | −86% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $64.56 | $47.78 | −26% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.47 | ¥6.75 | −79% |
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