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Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding (0232) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$3.8B

CA Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding 0232 · HK
PriceHK$0.4550
Fair ValueHK$0.2300
Upside-49.5%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.25% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.2300 – HK$0.2300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.2400 to HK$0.2300 (−4.2%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price +12.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.4550 HK$0.0609 Fair Value HK$0.2300 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0609 – HK$0.4550 · the HK$0.4550 price screens above the HK$0.2300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding (0232) currently trades at HK$0.4550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2300, implying the stock looks roughly 49.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding generated revenue of HK$2.0B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$324M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

The share trades near its 52-week high and 279% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -49%, 0232 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.3400 HK$0.6000 HK$1.00 80
Residual Income HK$0.2400 HK$0.2300 HK$0.1900 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2100 HK$0.2900 HK$0.4500 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.3600 HK$0.5200 HK$1.02 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2000 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3900 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3600 HK$0.5900 HK$1.03 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2500 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4500 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3600 HK$0.7300 HK$1.35 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0400 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1300 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0400 HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2100 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2100 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.1700 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2400 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.3500 HK$0.4400 HK$0.5400 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.1200 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1700 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 HK$0.3300 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.3400 HK$0.6000 HK$1.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2100 HK$0.2900 HK$0.4500 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.2400 HK$0.2300 HK$0.1900 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.5200) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.9%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 3.1%
Free cash flow HK$174M FY2025
P/E ratio 40.5
More key figures
Operating margin 3.9%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -39.2%
Net cash HK$324M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, development, production, and sales of general aviation aircraft piston engines and spare parts in the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, development, production, and sales of general aviation aircraft piston engines and spare parts in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It also provides repair and maintenance services for aircraft engines; and aftermarket services and supports for piston engines. The company was formerly known as AVIC International Holding (HK) Limited and changed its name to Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding Limited in June 2021. Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding reported revenue of HK$2.0B in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$94.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.0B
Latest YoY
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Revenue +9.0%/yr
FY21 HK$1.4B
FY22 HK$1.7B
FY23 HK$1.8B
FY24 HK$1.8B
FY25 HK$2.0B
Net income
FY21 −HK$56.0M
FY22 HK$50.8M
FY23 HK$162M
FY24 HK$56.0M
FY25 HK$94.1M

0232 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0232

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −50% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.89× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 46
PAST 12 · sector 38
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 25 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.25 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding (0232) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2300 versus a price of HK$0.4550, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0232?
Our model-based fair value for Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding is HK$0.2300 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4550.
What is the quality score of 0232?
Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding (0232)?
Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0232?
The net profit margin of Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding pay a dividend?
Continental Aerospace Technologies Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.25% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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