King Fook Holdings Ltd (0280) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$509M (≈ $64.9M) · ISIN HK0280001436

What is King Fook Holdings Ltd really worth?

KF King Fook Holdings Ltd 0280 · HK

PriceHK$0.6100

Fair ValueHK$2.27

Upside+272.1%

Quality73/100

A solid business, trading 73% below our fair value of HK$2.27.

As of Aug 25, 2026, the fair value of King Fook Holdings Ltd is HK$2.27 per share against a price of HK$0.6100, so the fair value sits 272% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.8 %/yr)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (12/13)

Risks

!Thin margins · 10.0% net margin

!Moderate moat 49/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·4.92% dividend yield

Evidence: Low Range HK$1.65 – HK$3.01

Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price −1.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.65). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
A fairly wide model range (HK$1.65 to HK$3.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2370 – HK$0.6550 · fair‑value band HK$1.65 – HK$3.01 · the HK$0.6100 price screens below the HK$2.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

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Analysis

King Fook Holdings Ltd (0280) currently trades at HK$0.6100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.27, implying the stock looks roughly 73.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.01 per share, and 22 of the 25 models we run sit above the HK$0.6100 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.3300, and 3 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, King Fook Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.0B at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 21.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$80.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.65 (bear case) to HK$3.01 (bull case); at HK$0.6100, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at 272%, 0280 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0131 per share, which is 0.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

FCF DCF best evidence HK$1.51 HK$1.97 HK$2.54 82

Growth DCF HK$1.54 HK$1.95 HK$2.44 80

Owner Earnings HK$1.54 HK$2.01 HK$2.59 78

All 25 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF best evidence HK$1.51 HK$1.97 HK$2.54 82

Owner Earnings HK$1.54 HK$2.01 HK$2.59 78

5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.27 HK$1.72 HK$2.26 74

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.67 HK$2.43 HK$3.27 76

5Y P/E Exit HK$1.70 HK$2.48 HK$3.26 71

10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.34 HK$1.74 HK$2.21 68

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.59 HK$2.17 HK$2.88 69

10Y P/E Exit HK$1.61 HK$2.21 HK$2.88 65

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.7600 HK$1.81 HK$2.33 65

PEG = 1.0 HK$0.3200 HK$0.4500 HK$0.5900 57

EPV HK$1.33 HK$1.48 HK$1.61 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$0.2300 HK$0.3700 HK$0.5000 68

DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.2300 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4200 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$1.85 HK$2.46 HK$3.08 63

P/S Multiple HK$1.01 HK$1.35 HK$1.69 58

P/B Multiple HK$1.43 HK$1.90 HK$2.38 55

EV/EBIT HK$2.31 HK$3.01 HK$3.71 66

EV/EBITDA HK$2.00 HK$2.60 HK$3.19 67

EV/Revenue HK$1.16 HK$1.56 HK$1.97 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4900 HK$0.6600 HK$0.9800 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$1.54 HK$1.95 HK$2.44 80

Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.27 HK$1.74 HK$2.25 74

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$0.8400 HK$0.9300 HK$1.37 76

ROIC Compounder HK$1.36 HK$1.58 HK$1.80 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.40 HK$2.00 HK$2.60 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.01) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.3300). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 5.6 as of Jul 1, 2026

P/S ratio 0.56 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0600 price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.6

Dividend yield 4.9% payout 50.0%

Net margin 10.0% FY2026

Return on equity 11.9% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 9.4% avg 5y

Operating margin 10.5% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.0B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) +21.5% 3y avg +4.5%

EPS growth (YoY) +21.2%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow HK$133M FY2025

Net cash HK$80.4M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 54

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 65

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 68

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 94

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 74

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 83

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 67

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 82

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

King Fook Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of gold ornaments, jewelry, watches, gifts, and diamond products primarily in Hong Kong. It is involved in investment holding and trading activities; and bullion trading. The company was founded in 1949 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.

Full company description

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

King Fook Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.0B in FY2026 versus HK$819M in FY2022, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$102M in FY2026, compounding +14.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 80/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Latest Revenue (FY 2026)

HK$1.0B

Latest YoY

+15.4%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+4.5%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+9.8%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+0.1%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

+33.9% · in HKD

Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.

Earnings growth per share+29.0%

Dividend yield4.9%

Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5.5% (2021) → 13.8% (2026) · rising

Worst earnings drop310% (2015) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in HKD

⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.7%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Revenue +5.7%/yr

FY22 HK$819M

FY23 HK$895M

FY24 HK$776M

FY25 HK$886M

FY26 HK$1.0B

Net income +14.1%/yr

FY22 HK$60.1M

FY23 HK$79.5M

FY24 HK$85.2M

FY25 HK$88.3M

FY26 HK$102M

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King Fook Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$2.27 +73%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0280.HK" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">King Fook Holdings Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$2.27</b> <span style="color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+73%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "King Fook Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0280.HK

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 135 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%

Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median

Return on assets 6% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median

Revenue growth 22% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%

Debt / equity 0.09× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

P/B 0.57× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

P/S (TTM) 0.50× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE0 · sector 10

FUTURE100 · sector 50

PAST48 · sector 40

HEALTH95 · sector 99

DIVIDEND98 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Hermès International Société en commandite par actions RMS	€1,598	€950.24	−41%
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR	CHF 192.15	CHF 119.49	−38%
Christian Dior SE DIO	€423.60	€1,095	+159%
Titan Company TITAN	₹5,106	₹972.23	−81%
Tapestry, Inc TPR	$153.74	$19.95	−87%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929	HK$12.31	HK$11.51	−6%
The Swatch Group UHRN	CHF 36.35	CHF 8.46	−77%
Prada S.p.A 1913	HK$40.86	HK$64.71	+58%
Pandora A/S PNDORA	kr 783.00	kr 1,424	+82%
Laopu Gold Co 6181	HK$385.00	HK$654.83	+70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is King Fook Holdings Ltd (0280) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.27 versus a price of HK$0.6100, about +272% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 0280?

Our model-based fair value for King Fook Holdings Ltd is HK$2.27 (as of Aug 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.6100.

What is the quality score of 0280?

King Fook Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for King Fook Holdings Ltd (0280)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.27 (as of Aug 25, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.65, optimistic scenario HK$3.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the King Fook Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$2.27, about +272% upside versus a price of HK$0.6100 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.65, optimistic scenario HK$3.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of King Fook Holdings Ltd (0280)?

King Fook Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 25, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 0280?

The net profit margin of King Fook Holdings Ltd is about 10.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does King Fook Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?

King Fook Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.92% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 25, 2026).

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