AGX Group Berhad (0299) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of AGX Group Berhad MYR 0.55, price MYR 0.44, upside +26.0%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
32‑month range 0.2333 MYR – 0.5868 MYR · fair‑value band 0.2684 MYR – 0.6928 MYR · the 0.4400 MYR price screens below the 0.5542 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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AGX Group Berhad, through its subsidiaries, provides third-party logistics services in Malaysia, Singapore, the Philippines, Myanmar, Korea, Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, and China.
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AGX Group Berhad, through its subsidiaries, provides third-party logistics services in Malaysia, Singapore, the Philippines, Myanmar, Korea, Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, and China. It offers logistics services, such as aerospace logistics for airlines, aircraft maintenance, repair and overhaul workshops, and original equipment manufacturers; and air freight and sea freight forwarding. The company also provides warehousing and 3PL services, including inventory management, distribution, and value-added services through a network of warehouses; and road freight transportation for domestic and cross-border cargo movement. AGX Group Berhad was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Subang Jaya, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
AGX Group Berhad (0299) currently trades at 0.4400 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5542 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 0.8700 MYR per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the 0.4400 MYR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.1000 MYR, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.2684 MYR (bear) to 0.6928 MYR (bull), the price of 0.4400 MYR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
AGX Group Berhad reported revenue of 291M MYR in FY2025 versus 193M MYR in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was 14.3M MYR in FY2025, compounding +24.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 190M MYR (≈ $46.7M) · P/E ratio 14.7 · P/S ratio 0.72 · EPS (TTM) 0.0300 MYR · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 26%, 0299 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.2684 MYRFair Value 0.5542 MYRBull 0.6928 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0300 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+36.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+34.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 6%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AGX Group Berhad Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0299
Frequently asked questions
Is AGX Group Berhad (0299) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5542 MYR versus a price of 0.4400 MYR, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0299?
Our model-based fair value for AGX Group Berhad is 0.5542 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.4400 MYR.
What is the quality score of 0299?
AGX Group Berhad has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.5542 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2684 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.6928 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AGX Group Berhad stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.5542 MYR, about +26% upside versus a price of 0.4400 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.2684 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.6928 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
AGX Group Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 312M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does AGX Group Berhad pay a dividend?
AGX Group Berhad currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AGX Group Berhad would have to grow free cash flow by +34.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0299 use?
Our models discount AGX Group Berhad at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AGX Group Berhad that is +34.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AGX Group Berhad (0299) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AGX Group Berhad grew +18.9 % a year. The price currently implies +34.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AGX Group Berhad (0299) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AGX Group Berhad (+34.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.08 %: that much free cash flow AGX Group Berhad produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AGX Group Berhad it is 0.5542 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 0.4400 MYR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AGX Group Berhad stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 0299 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.4400 MYR, fair value 0.5542 MYR, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0299?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.4400 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.5542 MYR). For AGX Group Berhad the two are 0.1142 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AGX Group Berhad worth?
The market values AGX Group Berhad at about 190M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 0.4400 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.5542 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0299?
Our models span a range for AGX Group Berhad: cautious scenario 0.2684 MYR, base 0.5542 MYR, optimistic 0.6928 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 0.4400 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0299?
AGX Group Berhad trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.5542 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
Balance-sheet figures for AGX Group Berhad (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 14.0%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0299 from its 52-week high?
AGX Group Berhad trades at 0.4400 MYR, about 25% below its 52-week high of 0.5868 MYR and 17% above the low of 0.3769 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.5542 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AGX Group Berhad?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AGX Group Berhad stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 0.4400 MYR, calculated fair value 0.5542 MYR (+26%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0299 calculated?
We run AGX Group Berhad through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.5542 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. AGX Group Berhad currently trades 26 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 0.4400 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.5542 MYR, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AGX Group Berhad right now?
Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (0.2684 MYR to 0.6928 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of AGX Group Berhad
How large is the market capitalisation of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
The market capitalisation of AGX Group Berhad is 190M MYR (≈ $46.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AGX Group Berhad is 0.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
Earnings per share at AGX Group Berhad are 0.0300 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
The dividend yield of AGX Group Berhad is 1.9% (payout 27.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
The net margin of AGX Group Berhad is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AGX Group Berhad is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AGX Group Berhad is 12.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
The operating margin of AGX Group Berhad is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
Revenue at AGX Group Berhad is growing +34.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AGX Group Berhad (0299)?
Earnings per share at AGX Group Berhad are growing −18.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does AGX Group Berhad (0299) carry?
The net debt of AGX Group Berhad is 3.6M MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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