Jiangxi Copper (0358) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Jiangxi Copper HK$30.33, price HK$32.78, upside -7.5%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$7.21 – HK$51.68 · fair‑value band HK$22.54 – HK$43.47 · the HK$32.78 price screens above the HK$30.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Jiangxi Copper Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in mining, beneficiation, smelting, and processing of copper and gold in Chinese Mainland, China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Copper-related Industries and Gold-related Industries.
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Jiangxi Copper Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in mining, beneficiation, smelting, and processing of copper and gold in Chinese Mainland, China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Copper-related Industries and Gold-related Industries. The company is involved in the businesses of copper, gold, lead and zinc, trade, finance, new materials, engineering construction, equipment manufacturing, information technology, energy conservation and environment protection. It also engages in the extraction and processing of precious metals and scattered metals; smelting, rolling processing, and deep processing of non-ferrous metals and related by-products; research, development, production, and sales of copper materials; manufacture and sales of wires and cables, and trade of related products business. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Guixi, China.
Stock analysis
Jiangxi Copper (0358) currently trades at HK$32.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$30.33, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$83.31 per share, and 15 of the 17 models we run sit above the HK$32.78 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$18.44, and 2 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: HK$22.54 (bear) to HK$43.47 (bull), the price of HK$32.78 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Jiangxi Copper reported revenue of 529B CNY in FY2025 versus 443B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 7.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding +6.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$113B (≈ $14.4B) · P/E ratio 11.6 · P/S ratio 0.16 · EPS (TTM) HK$1.17 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −7%, 0358 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$22.54Fair Value HK$30.33Bull HK$43.47
Price HK$32.78 · Upside -7.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.0% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+27.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23.9% vs 24.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 3%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Copper · 59 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Above median
Fair Value upside−38.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.2% · Below median
Return on assets5.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth25.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Copper median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)11.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.17× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA3.3× · Cheapest 25%
PEG1.58× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)37· sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)73· sector 20
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangxi Copper Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0358.HK
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangxi Copper (0358) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$30.33 versus a price of HK$32.78, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0358?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangxi Copper is HK$30.33 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$32.78.
What is the quality score of 0358?
Jiangxi Copper has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$30.33 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$22.54, optimistic scenario HK$43.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangxi Copper stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$30.33, about −7% upside versus a price of HK$32.78 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$22.54, optimistic scenario HK$43.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
Jiangxi Copper reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 573B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Jiangxi Copper pay a dividend?
Jiangxi Copper currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.67% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangxi Copper it is HK$30.33 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$32.78. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangxi Copper stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0358 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$32.78, fair value HK$30.33, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0358?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$32.78); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$30.33). For Jiangxi Copper the two are HK$2.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangxi Copper worth?
The market values Jiangxi Copper at about HK$113B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$32.78; our models calculate a fair value of HK$30.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0358?
Our models span a range for Jiangxi Copper: cautious scenario HK$22.54, base HK$30.33, optimistic HK$43.47 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$32.78). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0358?
Jiangxi Copper trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$30.33 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 1.2, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
What is the PEG ratio of 0358?
The PEG ratio of Jiangxi Copper is 1.58 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangxi Copper (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 9.2%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0358 from its 52-week high?
Jiangxi Copper trades at HK$32.78, about 37% below its 52-week high of HK$51.68 and 15% above the low of HK$28.62 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$30.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangxi Copper?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Southern Copper Corporation, Freeport-McMoRan Inc, First Quantum Minerals Ltd, Lundin Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangxi Copper stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$32.78, calculated fair value HK$30.33 (−7%), Quality Score 51/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0358 calculated?
We run Jiangxi Copper through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$30.33, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangxi Copper itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$32.78. Our model-based fair value is HK$30.33, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangxi Copper right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (HK$22.54 to HK$43.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Jiangxi Copper (0358) come from?
Earnings per share at Jiangxi Copper grew +19.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.6 %, EBIT margin +7.1 %, tax rate +2.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Jiangxi Copper
How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangxi Copper is HK$113B (≈ $14.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangxi Copper is 0.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
Earnings per share at Jiangxi Copper are HK$1.17 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
The dividend yield of Jiangxi Copper is 3.7% (payout 103%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
The net margin of Jiangxi Copper is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangxi Copper is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangxi Copper is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
The operating margin of Jiangxi Copper is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
Revenue at Jiangxi Copper is growing +25.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangxi Copper (0358)?
Earnings per share at Jiangxi Copper are growing +43.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jiangxi Copper (0358) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangxi Copper is −11.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jiangxi Copper (0358) carry?
The net debt of Jiangxi Copper is 46.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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