Kuangchi Science Ltd (0439) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Kuangchi Science Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.4300 – HK$3.05 · fair‑value band HK$0.2400 – HK$0.3100 · the HK$0.5300 price screens above the HK$0.3100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 12, 2026.
Genesis Scale Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research, development, and manufacturing of products for technology business in the People's Republic of China. It provides technical support services based on AI technology; and administrative, procurement, and space services.
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Genesis Scale Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research, development, and manufacturing of products for technology business in the People's Republic of China. It provides technical support services based on AI technology; and administrative, procurement, and space services. The company is also involved in technology business; and property holding activities. IN addition, it engages in the sale of wearable smart helmets and metal component products. The company was formerly known as KuangChi Science Limited and changed its name to Genesis Scale Holdings Limited in December 2025. Genesis Scale Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Kuangchi Science Ltd (0439) currently trades at HK$0.5300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3100, implying the stock looks roughly 71.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2400 (bear) to HK$0.3100 (bull), the price of HK$0.5300 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Kuangchi Science Ltd reported revenue of HK$63.0M in FY2025 versus HK$114M in FY2021, a compound −13.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$141M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$326M (≈ $41.6M) · P/S ratio 5.18 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −224% · Return on equity −5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.4% · Operating margin −73.1% · Revenue (TTM) HK$63.0M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −42%, 0439 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Kuangchi Science Ltd reported revenue of HK$63.0M in FY2025 versus HK$114M in FY2021, a compound −13.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$141M in FY2025.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$63.0M
Latest YoY
−16.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (27Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.9%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−49.4% (2020) → −231.7% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE0· sector 47
PAST0· sector 36
HEALTH99· sector 93
DIVIDEND16· sector 15
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
WeaponsDefense
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Is Kuangchi Science Ltd (0439) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3100 versus a price of HK$0.5300, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0439?
Our model-based fair value for Kuangchi Science Ltd is HK$0.3100 (as of Sep 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.5300.
What is the quality score of 0439?
Kuangchi Science Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kuangchi Science Ltd (0439)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3100 (as of Sep 12, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2400, optimistic scenario HK$0.3100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kuangchi Science Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3100, about −42% upside versus a price of HK$0.5300 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2400, optimistic scenario HK$0.3100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kuangchi Science Ltd (0439)?
Kuangchi Science Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$63.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 12, 2026).
Does Kuangchi Science Ltd pay a dividend?
Kuangchi Science Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 12, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kuangchi Science Ltd (0439)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kuangchi Science Ltd it is HK$0.3100 per share (as of Sep 12, 2026), against a price of HK$0.5300. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kuangchi Science Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 12, 2026, 0439 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.5300, fair value HK$0.3100, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0439?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.5300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3100). For Kuangchi Science Ltd the two are HK$0.2200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kuangchi Science Ltd worth?
The market values Kuangchi Science Ltd at about HK$326M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 12, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.5300; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0439?
Our models span a range for Kuangchi Science Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2400, base HK$0.3100, optimistic HK$0.3100 per share (as of Sep 12, 2026, price HK$0.5300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kuangchi Science Ltd (0439)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kuangchi Science Ltd (as of Sep 12, 2026): return on equity −5.1%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0439 from its 52-week high?
Kuangchi Science Ltd trades at HK$0.5300, about 73% below its 52-week high of HK$1.99 and 15% above the low of HK$0.4600 (as of Sep 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kuangchi Science Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kuangchi Science Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 12, 2026: price HK$0.5300, calculated fair value HK$0.3100 (−42%), Quality Score 30/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0439 calculated?
We run Kuangchi Science Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 31.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Kuangchi Science Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
What should I pay attention to with Kuangchi Science Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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