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COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co (0517) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$7.8B

CS COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co 0517 · HK
PriceHK$5.84
Fair ValueHK$5.15
Upside-11.8%
Quality71/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 20.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
9.63% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range HK$4.67 – HK$6.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +4.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 12% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from HK$4.67 (bear) to HK$6.58 (bull), base HK$5.15. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$7.60 HK$1.41 Fair Value HK$5.15 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.41 – HK$7.60 · fair‑value band HK$4.67 – HK$6.58 · the HK$5.84 price screens above the HK$5.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co (0517) currently trades at HK$5.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.15, implying the stock looks roughly 11.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co generated revenue of HK$3.7B at a net margin of 20.8%. Revenue declined 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$4.67 (bear case) to HK$6.58 (bull case); at HK$5.84, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at -12%, 0517 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$6.48 HK$8.81 HK$11.97 80
Residual Income HK$4.65 HK$5.12 HK$7.18 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.51 HK$4.24 HK$5.11 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$6.39 HK$9.00 HK$12.75 38
Owner Earnings HK$6.74 HK$9.53 HK$13.53 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.51 HK$4.15 HK$4.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.65 HK$4.41 HK$5.23 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$7.64 HK$11.75 HK$16.00 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$4.53 HK$5.34 HK$6.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.64 HK$5.52 HK$6.53 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$7.11 HK$10.46 HK$14.46 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$3.58 HK$10.28 HK$13.55 54
Lynch FV HK$2.11 HK$3.02 HK$3.92 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$2.11 HK$3.02 HK$3.92 46
EPV HK$1.46 HK$1.53 HK$1.59 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$8.28 HK$11.05 HK$13.81 63
P/S Multiple HK$3.79 HK$5.06 HK$6.32 58
P/B Multiple HK$6.71 HK$8.94 HK$11.18 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.23 HK$2.63 HK$3.03 53
EV/EBITDA HK$2.21 HK$2.59 HK$2.98 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.89 HK$2.25 HK$2.62 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.71 HK$3.63 HK$5.42 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$6.48 HK$8.81 HK$11.97 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.51 HK$4.24 HK$5.11 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$4.65 HK$5.12 HK$7.18 76
ROIC Compounder HK$1.46 HK$1.53 HK$1.59 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$6.67 HK$9.53 HK$12.38 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$9.53) versus Economic Profit (HK$1.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.5%
Net margin 20.8%
Return on equity 9.6%
Free cash flow HK$741M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.1 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 4.7%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.3300
Dividend yield 9.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -11.6%
Net cash HK$1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, provides shipping services in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and internationally. It operates through Coatings; Marine Equipment and Spare Parts; Ship Trading Agency; Insurance Brokerage; Intelligent Shipping Services; and General Trading segments.

Full company description

COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, provides shipping services in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and internationally. It operates through Coatings; Marine Equipment and Spare Parts; Ship Trading Agency; Insurance Brokerage; Intelligent Shipping Services; and General Trading segments. The company offers agency services relating to ship building, ship trading, and bareboat chartering services, as well as voyage repair service; sells and installs equipment and spare parts for existing and new build vessels, as well as equipment of radio communications systems, satellite communications, and navigation systems for ships, offshore facilities, coastal stations, and land users; supplies marine materials; and produces and sells coatings products, including container, industrial heavy-duty anti-corrosion, and marine coatings. It also provides insurance and reinsurance intermediary services of marine and non-marine insurance, such as professional insurance brokerage services comprising risk assessment and analysis, designing insurance and reinsurance programmes, discussing insurance coverage, reviewing insurance policies, and claims adjustment and handling solutions. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of green, low-carbon, and digital intelligent solutions for the full-life cycle of the shipping industry, as well as trades in, stores, processes, and supplies asphalt and other products. The company was formerly known as COSCO International Holdings Limited and changed its name to COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. in November 2016. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of COSCO SHIPPING (Hong Kong) Co., Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co reported revenue of HK$3.7B in FY2025 versus HK$4.5B in FY2021, a compound −4.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$771M in FY2025, compounding +27.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$3.7B
Latest YoY
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Revenue −4.9%/yr
FY21 HK$4.5B
FY22 HK$4.0B
FY23 HK$3.3B
FY24 HK$3.6B
FY25 HK$3.7B
Net income +27.9%/yr
FY21 HK$288M
FY22 HK$347M
FY23 HK$594M
FY24 HK$709M
FY25 HK$771M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share −6.8 pp

of which total revenue −7.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.5 pp

EBIT margin +6.6 pp
Tax rate +1.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +8.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

0517 screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co · Fair Value
HK$5.15 −12%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0517

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.11× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 20.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 18 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 38 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 57

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,658 ₹1,041 -37%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,810 kr 3,033 -82%
HMM Co 011200 21,350 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹346.60 ₹126.31 -64%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 87.10 TWD 212.79 TWD +144%
PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk, a shipping company, TCPI 3,640 IDR 368.32 IDR -90%
Pan Ocean Co 028670 5,630 KRW 11,840 KRW +110%
Sociedad Matriz SAAM S.A SMSAAM 136.33 CLP 146.31 CLP +7%
PT Ancara Logistics Indonesia Tbk ALII 795.00 IDR 350.80 IDR -56%
PT Pelayaran Nasional Ekalya Purnamasari Tbk ELPI 700.00 IDR 298.20 IDR -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co (0517) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$5.15 versus a price of HK$5.84, about −12% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0517?
Our model-based fair value for COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co is HK$5.15 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$5.84.
What is the quality score of 0517?
COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co (0517)?
COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0517?
The net profit margin of COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co is about 20.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co pay a dividend?
COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.63% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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