Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (0564) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd HK$50.04, price HK$11.11, upside +350.4%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd
0564 · HKClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$4.29 – HK$23.17 · fair‑value band HK$24.56 – HK$74.06 · the HK$11.11 price screens below the HK$50.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
ZCZL Industrial Technology Group Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells coal mining and excavating equipment for coal mining industry in the People's Republic of China, Germany, and internationally. It provides coal mining equipment, hydraulic supports, and scraper conveyors.
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ZCZL Industrial Technology Group Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells coal mining and excavating equipment for coal mining industry in the People's Republic of China, Germany, and internationally. It provides coal mining equipment, hydraulic supports, and scraper conveyors. The company also offers power, chassis, sealing, drive, and new energy electric drive systems under the ASIMCO, SEG, and SES brands. In addition, the company provides automotive parts, including commercial and passenger vehicles, such as piston rings, camshafts, precision castings (cylinder blocks/cylinder heads/flywheel housings), starter generators, and stator/rotor assemblies for new energy drive motors. Further, it offers cold plates, air supply units, central air source units, active suspension electro-hydraulic pumps, brake and steering motors, steer-by-wire feel simulation motors, and lightweight and sealing solutions, including vibration damping components, such as motor and compressor mounts, seals, rods, subframes, and powder metallurgy products. The company was formerly known as ZMJ Group Company Limited and changed its name to ZCZL Industrial Technology Group Company Limited in October 2025. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (0564) currently trades at HK$11.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$50.04, implying the stock looks roughly 77.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$70.33 per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$11.11 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$10.76, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$24.56 (bear) to HK$74.06 (bull), the price of HK$11.11 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 41.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 29.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was 4.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding +21.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$21.4B (≈ $2.7B) · P/E ratio 4.5 · P/S ratio 0.46 · EPS (TTM) HK$2.10 · Dividend yield 11.3% · Net margin 10.4% · Return on equity 17.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 350%, 0564 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 144 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $109.81 | $120.79 | +10% |
| Daimler Truck Holding DTG | €42.54 | €50.36 | +18% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥17.20 | ¥20.84 | +21% |
| CNH Industrial N.V CNH | $13.06 | $8.65 | −34% |
| Traton SE 8TRA | €34.04 | €32.82 | −4% |
| Metso Oyj METSO | €17.08 | €18.79 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥7.17 | ¥14.52 | +103% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$35.30 | HK$56.32 | +60% |
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Key figures of Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd
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