Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings (0631) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$21.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$10.67 to HK$10.69 (+0.2%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +7.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 46% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$5.81 to HK$11.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$3.55 – HK$15.27 · fair‑value band HK$5.81 – HK$11.80 · the HK$7.31 price screens below the HK$10.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings (0631) currently trades at HK$7.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$10.69, implying the stock looks roughly 46.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings generated revenue of HK$25.1B at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. Net debt stands at HK$5.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$5.81 (bear case) to HK$11.80 (bull case); at HK$7.31, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 46%, 0631 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$17.95) versus Economic Profit (HK$0.1700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Company Limited manufactures and sells mining and logistics equipment, electricity, power station project products, petroleum and new energy manufacturing equipment, spare parts, and related services.
Full company description
Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Company Limited manufactures and sells mining and logistics equipment, electricity, power station project products, petroleum and new energy manufacturing equipment, spare parts, and related services. It operates through four segments: Mining Equipment, Logistics Equipment, Oil and Gas Equipment, and Emerging Industry Equipment. The company offers mining equipment, such as coal and non-coal mining machinery products, mining transport equipment, and spare parts, as well as related services; various intelligent excavators, mining machines, intelligent shearers, and electric and intelligent unmanned wide-bodied vehicles; smart mine products, including automatic integrated mining, unmanned driving, and smart mines; and robotics comprising robot system integration, mobile robots, and electric forklifts. It develops intelligent application scenarios based on industry practice and development needs for transformation and upgrade of electric, smart, and unmanned intelligent production; and provides front loaders, stacking machines, quayside gantry cranes, grippers, elevated hoisting arms, heavyweight forklifts, and telehandlers. In addition, the company offers drilling, workover, and automated pipe handling equipment; frac spreads; oil and gas field cementing and stimulation technical services; li-ion battery manufacturing equipment, solar modules, and electrolysis hydrogen production equipment, as well as related services. The company offers property development services; automation equipment; monocrystalline silicon materials; hydrogen production, storage, transportation, and refueling industry chain activities. It operates in Mainland China, rest of Asia, Europe, the United States, Brazil, Africa, and internationally. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Shenyang, the People's Republic of China. Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Company Limited is a subsidiary of Sany Hongkong Group Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings reported revenue of HK$24.3B in FY2025 versus HK$10.2B in FY2021, a compound +24.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.8B in FY2025, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $855.60 | $307.83 | -64% |
| Deere & Company DE | $619.77 | $182.29 | -71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 344.00 | kr 288.08 | -16% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $131.06 | $94.80 | -28% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 254.50 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.91 | ¥20.84 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.25 | ¥11.79 | +43% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.42 | HK$53.57 | +29% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥29.82 | ¥42.00 | +41% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹176.70 | ₹118.01 | -33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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