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Playmates Holdings (0635) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$993M

PH Playmates Holdings 0635 · HK
PriceHK$0.4650
Fair ValueHK$0.8200
Upside+76.3%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -54.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.25% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.7000 – HK$0.9300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

A solid business, screening 76% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.7000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.8217 HK$0.4600 Fair Value HK$0.8200 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4600 – HK$0.8217 · fair‑value band HK$0.7000 – HK$0.9300 · the HK$0.4650 price screens below the HK$0.8200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Playmates Holdings (0635) currently trades at HK$0.4650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.8200, implying the stock looks roughly 76.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Playmates Holdings generated revenue of HK$665M at a net margin of -54.5%. Revenue declined 28.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$890M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.7000 (bear case) to HK$0.9300 (bull case); at HK$0.4650, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 76%, 0635 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.8500 HK$0.9500 HK$1.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.7800 HK$0.9000 HK$1.05 74
Gordon GGM HK$0.3500 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4200 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.8300 HK$0.9400 HK$1.12 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.7800 HK$0.8900 HK$1.05 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.7900 HK$0.8700 HK$0.9600 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3500 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4200 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3500 HK$0.4200 HK$0.5000 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.7600 HK$0.8700 HK$0.9900 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.10 HK$1.48 HK$2.21 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.8500 HK$0.9500 HK$1.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.7800 HK$0.9000 HK$1.05 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.48) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.3800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$665M
Revenue growth (YoY) -28.5%
Net margin -54.5%
Return on equity -6.9%
Free cash flow HK$88.7M FY2025
Operating margin 12.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1000
Dividend yield 6.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -20.9%
Net cash HK$890M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Playmates Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiary, engages in the creation, design, marketing, and distribution of toys in Hong Kong, the United States, rest of the Americas, Europe, the rest of the Asia Pacific, and internationally.

Full company description

Playmates Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiary, engages in the creation, design, marketing, and distribution of toys in Hong Kong, the United States, rest of the Americas, Europe, the rest of the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Property Investments and Management Businesses, Investment Business, and Toy Business. The Property Investments and Management Businesses segment invests in and leases commercial, industrial, and residential premises for rent; and provides property management services, such as repair and maintenance, building security, general cleaning for common areas, hand-over and take-over of premises, and the monitoring of reinstatement and refurbishment works. The Investment Business segment invests in financial instruments, including listed equity. The Toy Business segment designs, develops, markets, and distributes toys and family entertainment activity products. The company offers product design and development services, as well as property investment services. The company was founded in 1966 and is based in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Playmates Holdings reported revenue of HK$665M in FY2025 versus HK$861M in FY2021, a compound −6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$362M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$665M
Latest YoY
−39.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.0%
Revenue −6.2%/yr
FY21 HK$861M
FY22 HK$720M
FY23 HK$1.3B
FY24 HK$1.1B
FY25 HK$665M
Net income
FY21 −HK$49.4M
FY22 −HK$213M
FY23 HK$10.3M
FY24 −HK$382M
FY25 −HK$362M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Playmates Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0635

Peer Group

Leisure · 190 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +76% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -54% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth -29% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.3% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 18
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Li Ning Company 2331 HK$14.59 HK$29.45 +102%
Asmodee Group ASMDEEB kr 158.70 kr 96.65 -39%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Playmates Holdings (0635) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.8200 versus a price of HK$0.4650, about +76% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0635?
Our model-based fair value for Playmates Holdings is HK$0.8200 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4650.
What is the quality score of 0635?
Playmates Holdings has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Playmates Holdings (0635)?
Playmates Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$665M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0635?
The net profit margin of Playmates Holdings is about -54.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Playmates Holdings pay a dividend?
Playmates Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.25% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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