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Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Golden Resources Development International Ltd HK$0.44, price HK$0.37, upside +20.6%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · HK · ISIN BMG3958B1046

Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Golden Resources Development International Ltd

0677 · HK

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value HK$0.4400 · Undervalued (+20.6%)

✓Quality 62/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.4 %/yr)

!Loss over the last twelve months · -1.7% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2026 1.3%

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)

!Narrow moat 24/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on future: 3 out of 100

26 models, one by onewith weight and evidence Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 62/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2902 – HK$1.32 · the HK$0.3650 price screens below the HK$0.4400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Golden Resources Development International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sourcing, importing, wholesaling, processing, packaging, marketing, and distributing of rice and food products in Hong Kong, Vietnam, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates through Convenience Store Operation; Food Operation; Packaging Materials Operation; Securities Investment; Property Investment; Retailtainment; and Corporate and Others segments. The company is involved in the operation of convenience stores; investment in equity and debt securities; procurement of goods; manufacturing and sale of packaging materials; retail and entertainment development and management; and property investment, holding, and development activities. It also offers information technology, warehousing, logistics, and money lending services. Golden Resources Development International Limited was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677) currently trades at HK$0.3650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4400, implying the stock looks roughly 17.0% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$1.21 per share, and 17 of the 23 models we run sit above the HK$0.3650 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.2700, and 6 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Golden Resources Development International Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.1B in FY2026 versus HK$1.8B in FY2022, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$27.2M in FY2026, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap HK$620M (≈ $79.0M) · P/E ratio 17.5 · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity −2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% · Operating margin 1.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 21%, 0677 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.4400 Fair Value HK$0.4400 Bull HK$0.4400

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$1.28 HK$1.60 HK$1.97 82

Growth DCF HK$1.29 HK$1.58 HK$1.90 80

Owner Earnings HK$1.07 HK$1.33 HK$1.64 78

All 23 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$1.28 HK$1.60 HK$1.97 82

Owner Earnings HK$1.07 HK$1.33 HK$1.64 78

5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.8600 HK$1.02 HK$1.21 74

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.39 HK$1.97 HK$2.61 76

5Y P/E Exit HK$0.8300 HK$0.9600 HK$1.09 72

10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.04 HK$1.21 HK$1.40 68

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.33 HK$1.75 HK$2.27 69

10Y P/E Exit HK$1.02 HK$1.17 HK$1.32 65

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.1100 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3400 65

PEG = 1.0 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 57

EPV HK$0.4100 HK$0.4300 HK$0.4400 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$0.2500 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4200 63

P/S Multiple HK$0.2000 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3400 58

P/B Multiple HK$0.2000 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3400 55

EV/EBIT HK$0.6600 HK$0.8100 HK$0.9500 66

EV/EBITDA HK$1.66 HK$2.14 HK$2.61 67

EV/Revenue HK$0.5400 HK$0.6700 HK$0.8000 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3900 HK$0.5200 HK$0.7700 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$1.29 HK$1.58 HK$1.90 80

Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.8600 HK$1.05 HK$1.26 74

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$0.4900 HK$0.4500 HK$0.4300 76

ROIC Compounder HK$0.4100 HK$0.4300 HK$0.4400 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1900 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3600 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 41

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 50

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 67

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 64

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 87

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 69

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 45

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 40

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 70/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+1.2%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+0.7%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+5.4%

Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.6% a year

Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+2.7%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−1.6%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−1.6%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.6% vs −12.3%, picking up

Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 3%

Start year 2021 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

less than -40 %

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 82 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside +20.5% · Above median

Profitability

Return on assets 1.6% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) −1.7% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 1.9% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 0.6% · Below median

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.5× · Pricier than median

P/B 0.06× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%

P/FCF 0.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)61 · sector 28

FUTURE (revenue growth)3 · sector 11

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 66

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Sysco Corporation SYY	$78.57	$70.95	−10%
US Foods Holding USFD	$93.33	$60.25	−35%
Performance Food Group PFGC	$91.55	$47.10	−49%
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT	€17.89	€21.59	+21%
CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT	14.50 THB	12.98 THB	−10%
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF	$110.27	$41.87	−62%
United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI	$45.75	$63.12	+38%
Olam Group VC2	0.9700 SGD	2.47 SGD	+155%
The Andersons, Inc ANDE	$66.97	$32.32	−52%
Metcash Limited MTS	A$2.86	A$5.33	+86%

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Golden Resources Development International Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.4400 +17%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Golden Resources Development International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0677

Frequently asked questions

Is Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4400 versus a price of HK$0.3650, about +21% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 0677?

Our model-based fair value for Golden Resources Development International Ltd is HK$0.4400 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3650.

What is the quality score of 0677?

Golden Resources Development International Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4400 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Golden Resources Development International Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$0.4400, about +21% upside versus a price of HK$0.3650 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

Golden Resources Development International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What growth is priced into Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Golden Resources Development International Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.4 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0677 use?

Our models discount Golden Resources Development International Ltd at 13.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.03, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Golden Resources Development International Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Golden Resources Development International Ltd grew +5.4 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Golden Resources Development International Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 32.20 %: that much free cash flow Golden Resources Development International Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Golden Resources Development International Ltd it is HK$0.4400 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3650. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Golden Resources Development International Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 0677 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3650, fair value HK$0.4400, a gap of about +21% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 0677?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4400). For Golden Resources Development International Ltd the two are HK$0.0750 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Golden Resources Development International Ltd worth?

The market values Golden Resources Development International Ltd at about HK$620M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3650; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4400 per share.

What is the P/E ratio of 0677?

Golden Resources Development International Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.4400 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.0.

How solid is the balance sheet of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

Balance-sheet figures for Golden Resources Development International Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −2.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 0677 from its 52-week high?

Golden Resources Development International Ltd trades at HK$0.3650, about 12% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4150 and 9% above the low of HK$0.3342 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4400 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Golden Resources Development International Ltd?

From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Golden Resources Development International Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.3650, calculated fair value HK$0.4400 (+21%), Quality Score 62/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 0677 calculated?

We run Golden Resources Development International Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Golden Resources Development International Ltd currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.3650. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4400, about +21% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Golden Resources Development International Ltd right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.4400). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Where does the earnings growth of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677) come from?

Earnings per share at Golden Resources Development International Ltd grew −4.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.0 %, EBIT margin −1.8 %, tax rate −1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Golden Resources Development International Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

The market capitalisation of Golden Resources Development International Ltd is HK$620M (≈ $79.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Golden Resources Development International Ltd is 0.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

Earnings per share at Golden Resources Development International Ltd are HK$−0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

The net margin of Golden Resources Development International Ltd is 1.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Golden Resources Development International Ltd is −2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Golden Resources Development International Ltd is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

The operating margin of Golden Resources Development International Ltd is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

Revenue at Golden Resources Development International Ltd is growing +0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677)?

Earnings per share at Golden Resources Development International Ltd are growing −55.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does Golden Resources Development International Ltd (0677) carry?

The net debt of Golden Resources Development International Ltd is HK$41.5M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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