HCT Co (072990) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · KR · Market cap 50.2B KRW
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +5.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 80% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (4,599 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3,120 KRW – 8,458 KRW · fair‑value band 4,599 KRW – 8,062 KRW · the 3,490 KRW price screens below the 6,272 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
HCT Co (072990) currently trades at 3,490 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6,272 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 79.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, HCT Co generated revenue of 107B KRW at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.6%. Net debt stands at 38.3B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4,599 KRW (bear case) to 8,062 KRW (bull case); at 3,490 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at 80%, 072990 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (10,053 KRW) versus Asset-Based (4,421 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HCT Co., Ltd. provides testing and certification, and calibration services in South Korea and internationally. The company offers testing services, consisting of electromagnetic compatibility test, electrical safety test, telecommunication test, radio frequency test, specific absorption rate test, over the air test, and environmental test for information …
Full company description
HCT Co., Ltd. provides testing and certification, and calibration services in South Korea and internationally. The company offers testing services, consisting of electromagnetic compatibility test, electrical safety test, telecommunication test, radio frequency test, specific absorption rate test, over the air test, and environmental test for information technology equipment, batteries, military equipment, and electronic devices. It also provides calibration services for measurement instruments; NI hardware calibration services, such as world-wide calibration service centers and calibration solutions for company measurement laboratories; and management services for clean room, including measurement of the ordinary environment of the clean room, analysis work, and microorganism management. In addition, the company offers test measurement and diagnostic equipment ILS(IPS) elements, such as consulting services, development and acquisition of calibration system, development of technical manual, and education and training services; future calibration technologies, consisting of consulting services, build the smart factory for defense PMELs, development of calibration automation system, and digital-SI/digital calibration certificates; and defense calibration services, such as performance-based calibration service, defense outsourcing and overseas calibration/repair consignment service, and technical support for discontinued repair parts. Further, it engages in global certification and sales marketing, and material component test and certification services. HCT Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Icheon-si, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HCT Co reported revenue of 108B KRW in FY2025 versus 63.3B KRW in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was 6.3B KRW in FY2025, compounding −11.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Semiconductors · 318 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $398.37 | $207.49 | -48% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €367.75 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €784.90 | €185.67 | -76% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €425.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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