HCT Co. Ltd (072990) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of HCT Co. Ltd KRW 7,389, price KRW 3,095, upside +138.7%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2,925 KRW – 8,458 KRW · fair‑value band 4,661 KRW – 11,109 KRW · the 3,095 KRW price screens below the 7,389 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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HCT Co., Ltd. provides testing and certification, and calibration services in South Korea and internationally.
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HCT Co., Ltd. provides testing and certification, and calibration services in South Korea and internationally. The company offers testing services, consisting of electromagnetic compatibility test, electrical safety test, telecommunication test, radio frequency test, specific absorption rate test, over the air test, and environmental test for information technology equipment, batteries, military equipment, and electronic devices. It also provides calibration services for measurement instruments; NI hardware calibration services, such as world-wide calibration service centers and calibration solutions for company measurement laboratories; and management services for clean room, including measurement of the ordinary environment of the clean room, analysis work, and microorganism management. In addition, the company offers test measurement and diagnostic equipment ILS(IPS) elements, such as consulting services, development and acquisition of calibration system, development of technical manual, and education and training services; future calibration technologies, consisting of consulting services, build the smart factory for defense PMELs, development of calibration automation system, and digital-SI/digital calibration certificates; and defense calibration services, such as performance-based calibration service, defense outsourcing and overseas calibration/repair consignment service, and technical support for discontinued repair parts. Further, it engages in global certification and sales marketing, and material component test and certification services. HCT Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Icheon-si, South Korea.
Stock analysis
HCT Co. Ltd (072990) currently trades at 3,095 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7,389 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 58.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 10,412 KRW per share, and 23 of the 23 models we run sit above the 3,095 KRW price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 4,421 KRW, and 0 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 4,661 KRW (bear) to 11,109 KRW (bull), the price of 3,095 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
HCT Co. Ltd reported revenue of 108B KRW in FY2025 versus 63.3B KRW in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was 6.3B KRW in FY2025, compounding −11.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 50.2B KRW (≈ $36.9M) · P/S ratio 0.47 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% · Operating margin 1.6% · Revenue (TTM) 107B KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 139%, 072990 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 4,661 KRWFair Value 7,389 KRWBull 11,109 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.0% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−19.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−21.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−21% vs −3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 338 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+139% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
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Is HCT Co. Ltd (072990) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7,389 KRW versus a price of 3,095 KRW, about +139% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 072990?
Our model-based fair value for HCT Co. Ltd is 7,389 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,095 KRW.
What is the quality score of 072990?
HCT Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7,389 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4,661 KRW, optimistic scenario 11,109 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HCT Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7,389 KRW, about +139% upside versus a price of 3,095 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 4,661 KRW, optimistic scenario 11,109 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
HCT Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 107B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does HCT Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
HCT Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, HCT Co. Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +14.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 072990 use?
Our models discount HCT Co. Ltd at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For HCT Co. Ltd that is +14.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has HCT Co. Ltd (072990) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at HCT Co. Ltd grew +15.0 % a year. The price currently implies +14.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of HCT Co. Ltd (072990) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into HCT Co. Ltd (+14.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.51 %: that much free cash flow HCT Co. Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HCT Co. Ltd it is 7,389 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 3,095 KRW. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HCT Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 072990 trades below its calculated fair value: price 3,095 KRW, fair value 7,389 KRW, a gap of about +139% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 072990?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,095 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7,389 KRW). For HCT Co. Ltd the two are 4,294 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HCT Co. Ltd worth?
The market values HCT Co. Ltd at about 50.2B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 3,095 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 7,389 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 072990?
Our models span a range for HCT Co. Ltd: cautious scenario 4,661 KRW, base 7,389 KRW, optimistic 11,109 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 3,095 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
Balance-sheet figures for HCT Co. Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.6%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 072990 from its 52-week high?
HCT Co. Ltd trades at 3,095 KRW, about 54% below its 52-week high of 6,782 KRW and 6% above the low of 2,925 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7,389 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HCT Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HCT Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 3,095 KRW, calculated fair value 7,389 KRW (+139%), Quality Score 33/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 072990 calculated?
We run HCT Co. Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7,389 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. HCT Co. Ltd currently trades 139 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 3,095 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 7,389 KRW, about +139% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HCT Co. Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (4,661 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (4,661 KRW to 11,109 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of HCT Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
The market capitalisation of HCT Co. Ltd is 50.2B KRW (≈ $36.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HCT Co. Ltd is 0.47 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
The dividend yield of HCT Co. Ltd is 1.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
The net margin of HCT Co. Ltd is 5.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HCT Co. Ltd is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HCT Co. Ltd is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
The operating margin of HCT Co. Ltd is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
Revenue at HCT Co. Ltd is growing −3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HCT Co. Ltd (072990)?
Earnings per share at HCT Co. Ltd are growing −98.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does HCT Co. Ltd (072990) carry?
The net debt of HCT Co. Ltd is 38.3B KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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