Come Sure Group (0794) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$82.8M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +10.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 136% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.5700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.5700 to HK$0.6500), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1550 – HK$0.7000 · fair‑value band HK$0.5700 – HK$0.6500 · the HK$0.2750 price screens below the HK$0.6500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Come Sure Group (0794) currently trades at HK$0.2750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6500, implying the stock looks roughly 136.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Come Sure Group generated revenue of HK$734M at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at HK$194M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.5700 (bear case) to HK$0.6500 (bull case); at HK$0.2750, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 136%, 0794 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.07) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Come Sure Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, sale, and trading of corrugated paperboards and paper-based packaging products in Hong Kong, Macau, and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Corrugated Products, Offset Printed Corrugated Products, and Properties Leasing segments.
Full company description
Come Sure Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, sale, and trading of corrugated paperboards and paper-based packaging products in Hong Kong, Macau, and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Corrugated Products, Offset Printed Corrugated Products, and Properties Leasing segments. It also involved in the manufacture, sale, and trading of offset printed corrugated paper-based packaging products, as well as engages in provision of management services. In addition, the company holds properties; and manufactures and trades in molded pulp products, raw papers, and production supplies. Come Sure Group (Holdings) Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Chai Wan, Hong Kong. Come Sure Group (Holdings) Limited operates as a subsidiary of Perfect Group Version Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Come Sure Group reported revenue of HK$760M in FY2025 versus HK$1.2B in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.3M in FY2025, compounding −46.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.55 | R$3.80 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.18 | €14.21 | -39% |
| Suzano S.A SUZ | $8.02 | $23.77 | +196% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 109.40 | kr 49.40 | -55% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥13.94 | ¥17.29 | +24% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 323.20 | kr 217.72 | -33% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$8.21 | HK$8.74 | +6% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,000 CLP | 1,253 CLP | +25% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥21.11 | ¥21.06 | -0% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 77.60 | kr 48.60 | -37% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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