Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.65, price HK$0.37, upside +78.1%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1550 – HK$0.6800 · fair‑value band HK$0.6100 – HK$0.8900 · the HK$0.3650 price screens below the HK$0.6500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 13, 2026.
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Come Sure Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, sale, and trading of corrugated paperboards and paper-based packaging products in Hong Kong, Macau, and the People's Republic of China.
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It operates through Corrugated Products, Offset Printed Corrugated Products, and Properties Leasing segments. It also involved in the manufacture, sale, and trading of offset printed corrugated paper-based packaging products, as well as engages in provision of management services.
In addition, the company holds properties; and manufactures and trades in molded pulp products, raw papers, and production supplies. Come Sure Group (Holdings) Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Chai Wan, Hong Kong.
Come Sure Group (Holdings) Limited operates as a subsidiary of Perfect Group Version Limited.
Stock analysis
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794) currently trades at HK$0.3650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6500, implying the stock looks roughly 44% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$1.66 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the HK$0.3650 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.6300, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.6100 (bear) to HK$0.8900 (bull), the price of HK$0.3650 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$742M in FY2026 versus HK$1.2B in FY2022, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$6.8M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$119M (≈ $15.2M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.16 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0200 · Net margin −0.9% · Return on equity −1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −0.1% · Revenue (TTM) HK$742M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 40% fair-value upside, at 78%, 0794 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.6100Fair Value HK$0.6500BullHK$0.8900
Price HK$0.3650 · Upside +78.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.9% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.0% (2021) → 1.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−19.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.9% a year for the price.
Compare Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 119 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside+78.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−0.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−0.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)2.3% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0794
Frequently asked questions
Is Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6500 versus a price of HK$0.3650, about +78% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0794?
Our model-based fair value for Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.6500 (as of Nov 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3650.
What is the quality score of 0794?
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.6500 (as of Nov 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6100, optimistic scenario HK$0.8900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.6500, about +78% upside versus a price of HK$0.3650 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6100, optimistic scenario HK$0.8900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$742M (latest available figure, as of Nov 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -19.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.2 % per year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0794 use?
Our models discount Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd that is -19.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd grew -9.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -19.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (-19.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.85 %: that much free cash flow Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.6500 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3650. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 13, 2026, 0794 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3650, fair value HK$0.6500, a gap of about +78% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0794?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.6500). For Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.2850 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$119M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3650; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.6500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0794?
Our models span a range for Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6100, base HK$0.6500, optimistic HK$0.8900 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026, price HK$0.3650). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Balance-sheet figures for Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 13, 2026): return on equity −1.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0794 from its 52-week high?
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.3650, at its 52-week high of HK$0.3650 and 107% above the low of HK$0.1760 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.6500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Suzano S.A, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 13, 2026: price HK$0.3650, calculated fair value HK$0.6500 (+78%), Quality Score 53/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0794 calculated?
We run Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd through 14 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.6500 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd currently trades 44% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was HK$0.3650. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.6500, about +78% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.6100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The market capitalisation of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is HK$119M (≈ $15.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is 0.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Earnings per share at Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The net margin of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is −0.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is −0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The operating margin of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Revenue at Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is growing +2.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Earnings per share at Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd are growing +31.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794) carry?
The net debt of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is HK$131M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 13, 2026