Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.87, price HK$0.36, upside +145.1%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1550 – HK$0.7000 · fair‑value band HK$0.7800 – HK$0.9400 · the HK$0.3550 price screens below the HK$0.8700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Come Sure Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, sale, and trading of corrugated paperboards and paper-based packaging products in Hong Kong, Macau, and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Corrugated Products, Offset Printed Corrugated Products, and Properties Leasing segments.
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Come Sure Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, sale, and trading of corrugated paperboards and paper-based packaging products in Hong Kong, Macau, and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Corrugated Products, Offset Printed Corrugated Products, and Properties Leasing segments. It also involved in the manufacture, sale, and trading of offset printed corrugated paper-based packaging products, as well as engages in provision of management services. In addition, the company holds properties; and manufactures and trades in molded pulp products, raw papers, and production supplies. Come Sure Group (Holdings) Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Chai Wan, Hong Kong. Come Sure Group (Holdings) Limited operates as a subsidiary of Perfect Group Version Limited.
Stock analysis
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794) currently trades at HK$0.3550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.8700, implying the stock looks roughly 59.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.12 per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$0.3550 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at HK$0.0900, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.7800 (bear) to HK$0.9400 (bull), the price of HK$0.3550 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$760M in FY2025 versus HK$1.2B in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.3M in FY2025, compounding −46.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$118M (≈ $15.0M) · P/E ratio 35.5 · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% · Operating margin 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 102% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 145%, 0794 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.7800Fair Value HK$0.8700Bull HK$0.9400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0100 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.9% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−38.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−38.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−38.8% vs −25.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%
Compare Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 119 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside+145.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Return on assets1.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6.8% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0794
Frequently asked questions
Is Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.8700 versus a price of HK$0.3550, about +145% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0794?
Our model-based fair value for Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.8700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3550.
What is the quality score of 0794?
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.8700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.7800, optimistic scenario HK$0.9400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.8700, about +145% upside versus a price of HK$0.3550 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.7800, optimistic scenario HK$0.9400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$734M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.8700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3550. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0794 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3550, fair value HK$0.8700, a gap of about +145% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0794?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3550); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.8700). For Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.5150 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$118M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3550; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.8700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0794?
Our models span a range for Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.7800, base HK$0.8700, optimistic HK$0.9400 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.3550). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0794?
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.8700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 0.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Balance-sheet figures for Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0794 from its 52-week high?
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.3550, at its 52-week high of HK$0.3550 and 102% above the low of HK$0.1760 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.8700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, The Navigator Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.3550, calculated fair value HK$0.8700 (+145%), Quality Score 50/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0794 calculated?
We run Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.8700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd currently trades 59 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.3550. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.8700, about +145% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.7800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The market capitalisation of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is HK$118M (≈ $15.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is 0.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Earnings per share at Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The net margin of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is 0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
The operating margin of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Revenue at Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is growing −6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794)?
Earnings per share at Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd are growing +31.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794) generate?
The free cash flow of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is −HK$4.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd (0794) carry?
The net debt of Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd is HK$194M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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