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Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd HK$1.09, price HK$0.36, upside +202.8%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Real Estate · HK · ISIN KYG8104A1085

SS Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Shimao Services Holdings Ltd

0873 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$1.09 · Strongly undervalued (+202.8%)

!Quality 55/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +9.4 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (8/12)

!Narrow moat 17/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 7 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear HK$1.06 to bull HK$1.34 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 55/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3400 – HK$26.95 · fair‑value band HK$1.06 – HK$1.34 · the HK$0.3600 price screens below the HK$1.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Shimao Services Holdings Limited provides property management services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Property Management Services and City Services. The company offers security, cleaning, greening, gardening, repair, and maintenance services. It also provides community asset management services, including the leasing of common spaces and public facilities; agency services; home decoration services, such as supply chain services for decoration materials, and marketing and promotion services; car park sales agency, car park sales, and public parking area rental services; smart community solutions; software maintenance services; technical solutions; catering, accommodation, and business trading services; new retail services of selling commodities through online and offline communities; elderly care-related services; display units and property sales venue management, preliminary planning, design consultancy, repair, and maintenance management services; and sewage and waste treatment services. In addition, the company carries out data analytics and mobile app mini-program development; and construction and engineering work, including electrical and electronic work, interior decoration, landscaping, and other civil work, as well as sells intelligent hardware devices and software. Further, it is involved in real estate agencies; wholesale and retail trading; technology services; business services; construction decoration; education; hotel management; urban and rural environmental sanitation integrated services; elderly support and consultancy services; house and city infrastructure construction; electricity infrastructure construction and inner renovation; city park and public infrastructure management; and corporate management services. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. Shimao Services Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Best Cosmos Limited.

Stock analysis

Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873) currently trades at HK$0.3600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.09, implying the stock looks roughly 67.0% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$4.07 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.3600 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.6500, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.06 (bear) to HK$1.34 (bull), the price of HK$0.3600 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Shimao Services Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 7.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 103M CNY in FY2025, compounding −44.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.1B (≈ $135M) · P/E ratio 8.6 · P/S ratio 0.11 · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% · Operating margin 1.5% · Revenue (TTM) 7.9B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 203%, 0873 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.06 Fair Value HK$1.09 Bull HK$1.34

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$4.23 HK$6.47 HK$9.81 80

Owner Earnings HK$1.22 HK$1.52 HK$1.97 78

Growth DCF HK$4.14 HK$6.04 HK$8.63 78

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$4.23 HK$6.47 HK$9.81 80

Owner Earnings HK$1.22 HK$1.52 HK$1.97 78

5Y Revenue Exit HK$2.55 HK$3.27 HK$4.15 74

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.22 HK$4.70 HK$6.50 75

5Y P/E Exit HK$2.58 HK$3.34 HK$4.16 72

10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.18 HK$4.07 HK$5.27 68

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.59 HK$4.97 HK$6.98 69

10Y P/E Exit HK$3.22 HK$4.11 HK$5.27 65

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.3300 HK$1.67 HK$2.30 64

Lynch FV HK$0.4500 HK$0.6500 HK$0.8400 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$0.4500 HK$0.6500 HK$0.8400 57

EPV HK$1.13 HK$1.17 HK$1.21 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$0.8100 HK$1.08 HK$1.34 63

P/S Multiple HK$0.6200 HK$0.8300 HK$1.04 58

P/B Multiple HK$0.6200 HK$0.8300 HK$1.04 55

EV/EBIT HK$1.79 HK$2.13 HK$2.47 66

EV/EBITDA HK$2.74 HK$3.40 HK$4.06 67

EV/Revenue HK$1.45 HK$1.75 HK$2.05 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$1.83 HK$2.46 HK$3.67 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$4.14 HK$6.04 HK$8.63 78

Rev-Margin DCF HK$2.55 HK$3.31 HK$4.33 74

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$2.27 HK$2.04 HK$1.91 71

ROIC Compounder HK$1.13 HK$1.17 HK$1.21 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.7100 HK$1.01 HK$1.31 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 24

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 37

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 66

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 67

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 95

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 25

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 10

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 3

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 79

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

−0.2%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−3.0%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.4%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+12.6%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−32.2%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−32.2%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 2%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 530 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 57 · Above median

Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 1.7% · Below median

Return on assets 0.4% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 1.3% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 1.5% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 10.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.6× · Cheaper than median

P/B 0.12× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheapest 25%

P/FCF 1.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 43

FUTURE (revenue growth)52 · sector 15

PAST (return on equity)7 · sector 17

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 83

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 63

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC	232,000 VND	25,731 VND	−89%
CBRE Group CBRE	$134.55	$91.06	−32%
KE Holdings 2423	HK$42.92	HK$17.16	−60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972	HK$24.32	HK$13.39	−45%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX	€23.99	€23.94	+0%
Vonovia SE VNA	€16.82	€36.55	+117%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL	$308.07	$540.65	+75%
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997	HK$30.54	HK$27.42	−10%
CoStar Group CSGP	$26.95	$6.19	−77%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209	HK$37.00	HK$56.36	+52%

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Shimao Services Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$1.09 +67%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0873" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Shimao Services Holdings Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$1.09</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+67%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shimao Services Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0873

Frequently asked questions

Is Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.09 versus a price of HK$0.3600, about +203% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 0873?

Our model-based fair value for Shimao Services Holdings Ltd is HK$1.09 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3600.

What is the quality score of 0873?

Shimao Services Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.09 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.06, optimistic scenario HK$1.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Shimao Services Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$1.09, about +203% upside versus a price of HK$0.3600 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.06, optimistic scenario HK$1.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

Shimao Services Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shimao Services Holdings Ltd it is HK$1.09 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3600. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Shimao Services Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 0873 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3600, fair value HK$1.09, a gap of about +203% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 0873?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.09). For Shimao Services Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.7300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Shimao Services Holdings Ltd worth?

The market values Shimao Services Holdings Ltd at about HK$1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3600; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.09 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0873?

Our models span a range for Shimao Services Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.06, base HK$1.09, optimistic HK$1.34 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.3600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 0873?

Shimao Services Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.1.

How solid is the balance sheet of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

Balance-sheet figures for Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 0873 from its 52-week high?

Shimao Services Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.3600, about 50% below its 52-week high of HK$0.7200 and 6% above the low of HK$0.3400 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.09 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Shimao Services Holdings Ltd?

From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Shimao Services Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.3600, calculated fair value HK$1.09 (+203%), Quality Score 55/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 0873 calculated?

We run Shimao Services Holdings Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shimao Services Holdings Ltd currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.3600. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.09, about +203% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Shimao Services Holdings Ltd right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.06). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

The market capitalisation of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd is HK$1.1B (≈ $135M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd is 0.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What is the net margin of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

The net margin of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

The operating margin of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

Revenue at Shimao Services Holdings Ltd is growing +10.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873)?

Earnings per share at Shimao Services Holdings Ltd are growing −95.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873) generate?

The free cash flow of Shimao Services Holdings Ltd is 764M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Shimao Services Holdings Ltd (0873) hold?

Shimao Services Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 1.6B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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