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Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd stock HK$3.93, price HK$1.93, upside +104.2%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 8 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials HK · ISIN HK0882007260

TD Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Nov 12, 2026

Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd

0882 · HK

Cheap (51% below fair value), but weak company and falling price: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Fair value HK$3.93 · Strongly undervalued 
Solidly profitable · 13.0% net margin (TTM) 
Low debt 
Costs just 5.2 times its yearly profit. 
Quality 47/100 
7.3% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Mixed vs. peers (8/14) 
Falling price (downtrend) 
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.5 %/yr in HKD) 
Negative free cash flow 
Narrow moat 34/100
Thin data 
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$2.88 HK$1.05 Fair Value HK$3.93 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.05 – HK$2.88 · fair‑value band HK$3.20 – HK$5.18 · the HK$1.93 price screens below the HK$3.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.

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Company profile

Tianjin Development Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, supplies water, heat, thermal power, and electricity in China and Hong Kong. It operates through six segments: Utilities, Pharmaceutical, Hotel, Electrical and Mechanical, Port Services, and Elevators and Escalators.

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The company engages in the supply of tap water, installation and maintenance of water pipes, technical consultancy, and retail and wholesale of water pipes and related parts, as well as water testing services; distribution of steam and heat for industrial, commercial, and residential customers; and supply of electricity, construction of electricity supply network, application of technology related to new energy and renewable energy, and electricity construction and related technical services, as well as energy storage technology services.

It also manufactures and sells chemical drugs, Chinese medicines, and other healthcare products; researches and develops medicine technology and products; designs, manufactures, and prints pharmaceutical packaging; and sells other paper-based packaging materials.

In addition, the company operates the Courtyard Hotel by Marriott Hong Kong; manufactures and sells hydroelectric equipment and large-scale pump units; provides port services; and manufactures and sells elevators and escalators. Further, it is involved in the finance lease business.

The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Tianjin Development Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Tsinlien Group Company Limited.

Stock analysis

Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882) currently trades at HK$1.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.93, implying the stock looks roughly 51% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of HK$8.03 per share, and 6 of the 8 models we run sit above the HK$1.93 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$1.16, and 2 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$3.20 (bear) to HK$5.18 (bull), the price of HK$1.93 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$3.2B in FY2025 versus HK$3.5B in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$428M in FY2025, compounding −2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.1B (≈ $263M) Micro · P/E ratio 5.2 · P/S ratio 0.69 · Dividend yield 7.3% · Net margin 13.4% · Return on equity 3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 2.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 104%, 0882 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$3.20 Fair Value HK$3.93 Bull HK$5.18
Price HK$1.93 · Upside +104.2%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings HK$4.50 HK$5.52 HK$7.27 77
Residual Income HK$8.00 HK$8.03 HK$8.27 76
Gordon GGM HK$1.01 HK$1.10 HK$1.21 69
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$4.50 HK$5.52 HK$7.27 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$2.71 HK$3.79 HK$4.43 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.01 HK$1.10 HK$1.21 69
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.01 HK$1.22 HK$1.45 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$5.39 HK$7.18 HK$8.98 63
P/B Multiple HK$1.68 HK$2.23 HK$2.79 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$3.22 HK$4.88 HK$6.10 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$8.00 HK$8.03 HK$8.27 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 24
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 57
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 91
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 94
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 21
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 27/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.6% vs −2.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7% → −3%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.2%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 351 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +104.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 3.0% · Below median
Return on assets 3.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 23.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 2.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −3.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 7.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.13× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 5.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.16× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.16× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.10× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 33
PAST (return on equity)12 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 45

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Honeywell International Inc HON $222.46 $245.42 +10% vs 0882
Kingdom Holding 4280 12.65 SAR 13.40 SAR +6% vs 0882
SGH Limited SGH A$42.45 A$34.87 −18% vs 0882
Keppel Ltd BN4 9.82 SGD 3.91 SGD −60% vs 0882
3M Company MMM $183.66 $73.02 −60% vs 0882
Swire Pacific Limited 0019 HK$112.60 HK$27.75 −75% vs 0882
Doosan Corporation 000150 610,000 KRW 95,752 KRW −84% vs 0882

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Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0882

Frequently asked questions

Is Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.93 versus a price of HK$1.93, about +104% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0882?
Our model-based fair value for Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd is HK$3.93 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.93.
What is the quality score of 0882?
Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$3.93 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$3.20, optimistic scenario HK$5.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$3.93, about +104% upside versus a price of HK$1.93 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$3.20, optimistic scenario HK$5.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
Does Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 7.27% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 12, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd pays a dividend of HK$0.14 per share a year, a dividend yield of 7.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 21, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2014. The payout ratio is 35.1% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd it is HK$3.93 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of HK$1.93. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, 0882 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.93, fair value HK$3.93, a gap of about +104% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0882?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$3.93). For Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd the two are HK$2.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd at about HK$2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.93; our models calculate a fair value of HK$3.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0882?
Our models span a range for Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$3.20, base HK$3.93, optimistic HK$5.18 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price HK$1.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0882?
Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.2 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$3.93 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 5.7. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 0.2, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
What is the PEG ratio of 0882?
The PEG ratio of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd is 1.10 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 12, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 3.0%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0882 from its 52-week high?
Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.93, about 30% below its 52-week high of HK$2.75 and at the low of HK$1.92 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$3.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, Swire Pacific Limited, SGH Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price HK$1.93, calculated fair value HK$3.93 (+104%), Quality Score 47/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0882 calculated?
We run Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd through 8 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$3.93 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd currently trades 51% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$1.93. Our model-based fair value is HK$3.93, about +104% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (47/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.20). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
The market capitalisation of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd is HK$2.1B (≈ $263M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd is 0.69 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
The dividend yield of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd is 7.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
The net margin of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd is 13.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
The operating margin of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
Revenue at Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd is down 3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882)?
Earnings per share at Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd are down 5.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882) generate?
The free cash flow of Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd is −HK$32.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd (0882) hold?
Tianjin Development Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$885M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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