Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Theme International Holdings Ltd HK$2.23, price HK$0.55, upside +309.2%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3150 – HK$1.62 · fair‑value band HK$1.56 – HK$2.89 · the HK$0.5450 price screens below the HK$2.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Deep Source Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the processing, distribution, and trading of bulk commodities and related products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Singapore.
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Deep Source Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the processing, distribution, and trading of bulk commodities and related products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Singapore. The company also provides securities and derivatives financial services, margin financing services, fund management services, futures contract brokerage services, clearing services, financial derivatives consulting services, commodity trading services, inter-dealer broking in over-the-counter markets, facilitate trading, and derivative trading services. In addition, it engages in money lending business; the brokerage of physical commodities; trade facilitation services in physical gold and silver; distribution and trading of petrochemicals products; loan financing activities; and freight services agency business. The company was formerly known as Theme International Holdings Limited and changed its name to Deep Source Holdings Limited in July 2025. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong. Deep Source Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Wide Bridge Limited.
Stock analysis
Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990) currently trades at HK$0.5450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.23, implying the stock looks roughly 75.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$3.06 per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.5450 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.3300, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$1.56 (bear) to HK$2.89 (bull), the price of HK$0.5450 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Theme International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$21.4B in FY2025 versus HK$34.6B in FY2021, a compound −11.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$720M in FY2025, compounding −7.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$7.6B (≈ $965M) · P/E ratio 10.2 · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at 309%, 0990 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$1.56Fair Value HK$2.23Bull HK$2.89
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0151 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.4%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 1%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Theme International Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 407 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets2.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3.4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)4.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−21.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.6% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Theme International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0990
Frequently asked questions
Is Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.23 versus a price of HK$0.5450, about +309% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0990?
Our model-based fair value for Theme International Holdings Ltd is HK$2.23 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.5450.
What is the quality score of 0990?
Theme International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.23 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.56, optimistic scenario HK$2.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Theme International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.23, about +309% upside versus a price of HK$0.5450 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.56, optimistic scenario HK$2.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
Theme International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$21.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Theme International Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Theme International Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Theme International Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.1 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0990 use?
Our models discount Theme International Holdings Ltd at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Theme International Holdings Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Theme International Holdings Ltd grew +6.1 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Theme International Holdings Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 38.54 %: that much free cash flow Theme International Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Theme International Holdings Ltd it is HK$2.23 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of HK$0.5450. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Theme International Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 0990 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.5450, fair value HK$2.23, a gap of about +309% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0990?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.5450); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.23). For Theme International Holdings Ltd the two are HK$1.69 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Theme International Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Theme International Holdings Ltd at about HK$7.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.5450; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0990?
Our models span a range for Theme International Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.56, base HK$2.23, optimistic HK$2.89 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price HK$0.5450). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0990?
Theme International Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.2 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$2.23 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.4.
What is the PEG ratio of 0990?
The PEG ratio of Theme International Holdings Ltd is 0.26 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 28, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
Balance-sheet figures for Theme International Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 10.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0990 from its 52-week high?
Theme International Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.5450, about 43% below its 52-week high of HK$0.9500 and 10% above the low of HK$0.4950 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Theme International Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Theme International Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price HK$0.5450, calculated fair value HK$2.23 (+309%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0990 calculated?
We run Theme International Holdings Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Theme International Holdings Ltd currently trades 76 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.5450. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.23, about +309% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Theme International Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.56). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$1.56 to HK$2.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Theme International Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
The market capitalisation of Theme International Holdings Ltd is HK$7.6B (≈ $965M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Theme International Holdings Ltd is 0.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
Earnings per share at Theme International Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
The dividend yield of Theme International Holdings Ltd is 3.6% (payout 97.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
The net margin of Theme International Holdings Ltd is 3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Theme International Holdings Ltd is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Theme International Holdings Ltd is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
The operating margin of Theme International Holdings Ltd is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
Revenue at Theme International Holdings Ltd is growing −21.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990)?
Earnings per share at Theme International Holdings Ltd are growing +201% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Theme International Holdings Ltd (0990) hold?
Theme International Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$7.1B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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