BASF SE (0BFA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of BASF SE €62.67, price €50.00, upside +25.3%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €30.39 – €54.55 · fair‑value band €44.54 – €82.07 · the €50.00 price screens below the €62.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
BASF SE operates as a chemical company worldwide. It operates through six segments: Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions, Surface Technologies, Nutrition & Care, and Agricultural Solutions. The Chemicals segment provides petrochemicals and intermediates.
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BASF SE operates as a chemical company worldwide. It operates through six segments: Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions, Surface Technologies, Nutrition & Care, and Agricultural Solutions. The Chemicals segment provides petrochemicals and intermediates. The Materials segment offers advanced materials and their precursors for applications and systems comprising isocyanates, polyamides, and inorganic basic products, as well as specialties for the plastics and plastics processing industries. The Industrial Solutions segment develops and markets ingredients and additives for industrial applications, such as polymer dispersions, resins, additives, chemical and refining catalysts, electronic materials, and antioxidants for automotive, petrochemical and petroleum processing, plastics and electronics, construction, electronics, paper coatings, and energy and resources industries. The Surface Technologies segment provides catalysts, battery materials, automotive OEM and refinish coatings, surface treatment, and precious and base metal services for the automotive and chemical industries. The Nutrition & Care segment offers ingredients for consumer applications in the areas of nutrition, home, and personal care applications; and serves the food and feed producers, pharmaceutical, cosmetics, detergents, and cleaner industries, as well as the consumer goods sector. The Agricultural Solutions segment provides seeds and traits, and seed treatment products; fungicides, herbicides, insecticides, and biological crop protection products; and digital solutions. The company engages in engineering and other; rental and leasing; and renewable energy trading, commodity trading activities. BASF SE was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Ludwigshafen am Rhein, Germany.
Stock analysis
BASF SE (0BFA) currently trades at €50.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €62.67, implying the stock looks roughly 20.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €73.09 per share, and 6 of the 12 models we run sit above the €50.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €18.44, and 6 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €44.54 (bear) to €82.07 (bull), the price of €50.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
BASF SE reported revenue of €59.1B in FY2020 versus €57.6B in FY2016, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.1B in FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap €61.3B · P/S ratio 1.04 · Dividend yield 4.5% · Net margin −1.8% · Return on equity 4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% · Operating margin 7.7% · Revenue (TTM) €59.2B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 25%, 0BFA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €44.54Fair Value €62.67Bull €82.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
’16
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’18
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.9% (2016) → −0.4% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−45.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4.4% · Below median
Return on assets1.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.47× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BASF SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0BFA
Frequently asked questions
Is BASF SE (0BFA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €62.67 versus a price of €50.00, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0BFA?
Our model-based fair value for BASF SE is €62.67 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €50.00.
What is the quality score of 0BFA?
BASF SE has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BASF SE (0BFA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €62.67 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €44.54, optimistic scenario €82.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BASF SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €62.67, about +25% upside versus a price of €50.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €44.54, optimistic scenario €82.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BASF SE (0BFA)?
BASF SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €59.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does BASF SE pay a dividend?
BASF SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.50% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of BASF SE (0BFA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BASF SE it is €62.67 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €50.00. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BASF SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0BFA trades below its calculated fair value: price €50.00, fair value €62.67, a gap of about +25% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0BFA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€50.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€62.67). For BASF SE the two are €12.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BASF SE worth?
The market values BASF SE at about €61.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €50.00; our models calculate a fair value of €62.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0BFA?
Our models span a range for BASF SE: cautious scenario €44.54, base €62.67, optimistic €82.07 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €50.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of BASF SE (0BFA)?
Balance-sheet figures for BASF SE (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 4.4%, debt of 0.47 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0BFA from its 52-week high?
BASF SE trades at €50.00, about 8% below its 52-week high of €54.55 and 25% above the low of €40.08 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €62.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BASF SE?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BASF SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €50.00, calculated fair value €62.67 (+25%), Quality Score 55/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0BFA calculated?
We run BASF SE through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €62.67, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. BASF SE currently trades 20 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BASF SE (0BFA)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €50.00. Our model-based fair value is €62.67, about +25% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BASF SE right now?
Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€44.54 to €82.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of BASF SE
How large is the market capitalisation of BASF SE (0BFA)?
The market capitalisation of BASF SE is €61.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BASF SE (0BFA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BASF SE is 1.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of BASF SE (0BFA)?
The dividend yield of BASF SE is 4.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of BASF SE (0BFA)?
The net margin of BASF SE is −1.8% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BASF SE (0BFA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BASF SE is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BASF SE (0BFA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BASF SE is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BASF SE (0BFA)?
The operating margin of BASF SE is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BASF SE (0BFA)?
Revenue at BASF SE is growing −3.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BASF SE (0BFA)?
Earnings per share at BASF SE are growing +16.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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