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Boeing Co. (0BOE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Boeing Co. $42.18, price $193, upside -78.1%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · GB

BC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Boeing Co.

0BOE · LSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $42.18 · Strongly overvalued (−78.1%)
!Quality 40/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +10.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.5% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 39/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $42.18 to $95.57

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$265.66 $118.21 Fair Value $42.18 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $118.21 – $265.66 · fair‑value band $42.18 – $95.57 · the $192.57 price screens above the $42.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

The Boeing Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, sells, services, and supports commercial jetliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense, human space flight and launch systems, and services worldwide.

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The Boeing Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, sells, services, and supports commercial jetliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense, human space flight and launch systems, and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Commercial Airplanes; Defense, Space & Security; and Global Services. The Commercial Airplanes segment develops, produces, and markets commercial jet aircraft for passenger and cargo requirements. The Defense, Space & Security segment engages in the research, development, production, and modification of manned and unmanned military aircraft and weapons systems; strategic defense and intelligence systems, which include strategic missile and defense systems, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, cyber and information solutions, and intelligence systems; and satellite systems, such as government and commercial satellites, and space exploration. The Global Services segment offers products and services, including supply chain and logistics management, engineering, maintenance and modifications, upgrades and conversions, spare parts, pilot and maintenance training systems and services, technical and maintenance documents, and data analytics and digital services to commercial and defense customers. The Boeing Company was incorporated in 1916 and is based in Arlington, Virginia.

Stock analysis

Boeing Co. (0BOE) currently trades at $192.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $42.18, 78.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $77.99 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the $192.57 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.95, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $42.18 (bear) to $95.57 (bull), the price of $192.57 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Boeing Co. reported revenue of $89.5B in FY2025 versus $62.3B in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was $2.2B in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $151B · EPS (TTM) $−3.54 · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 170% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.1% · Operating margin 1.7% · Revenue (TTM) $92.2B · Revenue growth (YoY) +14.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −78%, 0BOE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $42.18 Fair Value $42.18 Bull $95.57
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $20.90 $31.42 $71.55 66
Growth-Adj P/E $52.98 $75.68 $98.39 65
Owner Earnings $15.38 $77.99 $188.10 64
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $15.38 $77.99 $188.10 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $24.76 $129.58 $179.30 61
Lynch FV $35.55 $50.79 $66.03 58
PEG = 1.0 $35.55 $50.79 $66.03 55
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.74 $9.44 $14.29 64
DDM Multi-Stage $4.74 $8.15 $9.96 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $57.34 $76.46 $95.57 63
P/S Multiple $46.42 $61.89 $77.37 58
P/B Multiple $29.98 $39.98 $49.97 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.44 $5.95 $8.88 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $20.90 $31.42 $71.55 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $52.98 $75.68 $98.39 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 16
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+34.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.4% (2021) → −6.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

0BOE screens overvalued: fair value 78% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 170.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets −2.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 8.34× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 27.85× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 1.65× · Cheaper than median
PEG 26.15× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)70 · sector 63
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $312.29 $92.61 −70%
RTX Corporation RTX $185.01 $88.30 −52%
Airbus SE AIR €185.60 €112.14 −40%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $509.25 $439.62 −14%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $230.94 $52.67 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $334.16 $274.19 −18%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $504.61 $382.98 −24%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,116 $1,228 +10%
Thales S.A HO €222.70 €170.99 −23%
Rheinmetall AG RHM €956.90 €313.19 −67%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Boeing Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0BOE

Frequently asked questions

Is Boeing Co. (0BOE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $42.18 versus a price of $192.57, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0BOE?
Our model-based fair value for Boeing Co. is $42.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $192.57.
What is the quality score of 0BOE?
Boeing Co. has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $42.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $42.18, optimistic scenario $95.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Boeing Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $42.18, about −78% upside versus a price of $192.57 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $42.18, optimistic scenario $95.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
Boeing Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $92.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Boeing Co. it is $42.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $192.57. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Boeing Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0BOE trades above its calculated fair value: price $192.57, fair value $42.18, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0BOE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($192.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($42.18). For Boeing Co. the two are $150.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Boeing Co. worth?
The market values Boeing Co. at about $151B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $192.57; our models calculate a fair value of $42.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0BOE?
Our models span a range for Boeing Co.: cautious scenario $42.18, base $42.18, optimistic $95.57 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $192.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0BOE?
The PEG ratio of Boeing Co. is 26.15 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Boeing Co. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 170.0%, debt of 8.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0BOE from its 52-week high?
Boeing Co. trades at $192.57, about 24% below its 52-week high of $253.61 and 8% above the low of $178.49 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $42.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Boeing Co.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Boeing Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $192.57, calculated fair value $42.18 (−78%), Quality Score 40/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0BOE calculated?
We run Boeing Co. through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $42.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Boeing Co. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $192.57. Our model-based fair value is $42.18, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Boeing Co. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($95.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($42.18 to $95.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Boeing Co.

How large is the market capitalisation of Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
The market capitalisation of Boeing Co. is $151B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
Earnings per share at Boeing Co. are $−3.54. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
The net margin of Boeing Co. is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Boeing Co. is 170% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Boeing Co. is −3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
The operating margin of Boeing Co. is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Boeing Co. (0BOE)?
Revenue at Boeing Co. is growing +14.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Boeing Co. (0BOE) generate?
The free cash flow of Boeing Co. is −$1.9B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Boeing Co. (0BOE) carry?
The net debt of Boeing Co. is $42.9B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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