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Lisi S.A (0EKE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Lisi S.A €22.87, price €60.10, upside -62.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home France · ISIN FR0000050353

LS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Lisi S.A

0EKE · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €22.87 · Strongly overvalued (−62.0%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −9.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!Narrow moat 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€71.25 €16.86 Fair Value €22.87 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €16.86 – €71.25 · fair‑value band €17.86 – €29.83 · the €60.10 price screens above the €22.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Lisi S.A. designs and produces assembly and component solutions for the aerospace, automotive, and medical sectors in France and internationally. The company operates through three segments: LISI Aerospace and LISI Automotive.

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Lisi S.A. designs and produces assembly and component solutions for the aerospace, automotive, and medical sectors in France and internationally. The company operates through three segments: LISI Aerospace and LISI Automotive. It offers OPTIBLIND, high pressure hydraulic fitting, latch, RIB fitting, TYX, and O-ring products; and manufactures fastener and structural assembly components for aircraft manufacturers. The company also provides cable channel, guide rods and electric parking brakes, sealing screws, and standard automotive clop; and metal and plastic assembly solutions, and safety mechanical components for automotive manufacturers and suppliers. The company was formerly known as GFI Industries and changed its name to Lisi S.A. in 2002. Lisi S.A. was founded in 1777 and is headquartered in Belfort, France.

Stock analysis

Lisi S.A (0EKE) currently trades at €60.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €22.87, 62.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €26.14 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the €60.10 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €2.43, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €17.86 (bear) to €29.83 (bull), the price of €60.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Lisi S.A reported revenue of €1.2B in FY2020 versus €1.6B in FY2016, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€37.3M in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap €1.1B · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 0.63 · EPS (TTM) €0.8200 · Net margin −3.0% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% · Operating margin 8.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −62%, 0EKE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €17.86 Fair Value €22.87 Bull €29.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €19.61 €25.80 €36.19 77
Growth DCF €20.27 €26.14 €35.23 76
5Y EBITDA Exit €14.40 €19.56 €26.39 72
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €19.61 €25.80 €36.19 77
5Y Revenue Exit €19.94 €29.14 €42.49 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €14.40 €19.56 €26.39 72
10Y Revenue Exit €19.16 €25.52 €32.29 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €16.59 €20.11 €23.66 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.25 €2.43 €2.69 67
DDM Multi-Stage €2.25 €2.68 €3.23 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €12.19 €16.52 €20.85 67
EV/Revenue €22.08 €31.88 €41.68 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €9.28 €12.44 €18.56 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €20.27 €26.14 €35.23 76
Rev-Margin DCF €19.94 €29.68 €41.63 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−28.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.4% (2016) → −2.3% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0EKE screens overvalued: fair value 62% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −72.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6.0% · Below median
Return on assets 4.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.24× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.3× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $312.29 $92.61 −70%
RTX Corporation RTX $185.01 $88.30 −52%
Airbus SE AIR €185.60 €112.14 −40%
Safran SA SAF €327.00 €359.70 +10%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $509.25 $439.62 −14%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $230.94 $52.67 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $334.16 $274.19 −18%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $504.61 $382.98 −24%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,116 $1,228 +10%
Thales S.A HO €222.70 €170.99 −23%

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Lisi S.A · Fair Value
€22.87 −62%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lisi S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0EKE

Frequently asked questions

Is Lisi S.A (0EKE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €22.87 versus a price of €60.10, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0EKE?
Our model-based fair value for Lisi S.A is €22.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €60.10.
What is the quality score of 0EKE?
Lisi S.A has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €22.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €17.86, optimistic scenario €29.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lisi S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €22.87, about −62% upside versus a price of €60.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €17.86, optimistic scenario €29.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
Lisi S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lisi S.A it is €22.87 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €60.10. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lisi S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0EKE trades above its calculated fair value: price €60.10, fair value €22.87, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0EKE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€60.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€22.87). For Lisi S.A the two are €37.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lisi S.A worth?
The market values Lisi S.A at about €1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €60.10; our models calculate a fair value of €22.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0EKE?
Our models span a range for Lisi S.A: cautious scenario €17.86, base €22.87, optimistic €29.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €60.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0EKE?
Lisi S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €22.87 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lisi S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0EKE from its 52-week high?
Lisi S.A trades at €60.10, about 16% below its 52-week high of €71.25 and 34% above the low of €44.86 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €22.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lisi S.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lisi S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €60.10, calculated fair value €22.87 (−62%), Quality Score 52/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0EKE calculated?
We run Lisi S.A through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €22.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Lisi S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €60.10. Our model-based fair value is €22.87, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lisi S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€29.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Lisi S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
The market capitalisation of Lisi S.A is €1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lisi S.A is 0.63 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
Earnings per share at Lisi S.A are €0.8200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
The net margin of Lisi S.A is −3.0% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lisi S.A is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lisi S.A is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
The operating margin of Lisi S.A is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
Revenue at Lisi S.A is growing +8.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lisi S.A (0EKE)?
Earnings per share at Lisi S.A are growing +22.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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