Safran SA (0IU8) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Safran SA €58.69, price €330, upside -82.2%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €84.70 – €362.75 · fair‑value band €40.28 – €84.96 · the €330.30 price screens above the €58.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Safran SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the aerospace and defense businesses in France, rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East. The company operates through three segments: Aerospace Propulsion; Aircraft Equipment, Defense and Aerosystems; and Aircraft Interiors.
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Safran SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the aerospace and defense businesses in France, rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East. The company operates through three segments: Aerospace Propulsion; Aircraft Equipment, Defense and Aerosystems; and Aircraft Interiors. The Aerospace Propulsion segment designs, develops, produces, and markets propulsion and mechanical power transmission systems for commercial aircraft, military transport, training and combat aircraft, civil and military helicopters, and drones; and offers maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services, as well as sells spare parts. The Aircraft Equipment, Defense and Aerosystems segment provides landing gears and brakes; nacelles and reversers; avionics, such as flight controls and onboard information systems; security systems, including evacuation slides and oxygen masks; onboard computers and fuel systems; electrical power management systems and related engineering services; optronic equipment and sights, navigation equipment and sensors, infantry, and drones; MRO services; and sells spare parts. The Aircraft Interiors segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets aircraft seats for passengers and crew; cabin equipment, overhead bins, class dividers, passenger service units, cabin interior solutions, chilling systems, galleys, electrical inserts, and trolleys; and cabin equipment and passenger comfort-focused solutions such as water distribution, lavatories, air systems, and in-flight entertainment and connectivity (IFEC) solutions. The company's products and services are used in commercial civil and military aircrafts, and helicopters. Safran SA was founded in 1896 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Stock analysis
Safran SA (0IU8) currently trades at €330.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €58.69, 82.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €173.82 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the €330.30 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €15.59, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €40.28 (bear) to €84.96 (bull), the price of €330.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Safran SA reported revenue of €16.6B in FY2020 versus €16.5B in FY2016, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was €352M in FY2020, compounding −34.5%/yr from FY2016.
Key figures
Market cap €45.4B · P/S ratio 1.45 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 55.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% · Operating margin 13.2% · Revenue (TTM) €31.2B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −82%, 0IU8 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€15.59 to €329.23). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear €40.28Fair Value €58.69Bull €84.96
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−33.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
20.2% (2016) → 5.6% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−81.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)55.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)23.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)13.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.33× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Safran SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0IU8
Frequently asked questions
Is Safran SA (0IU8) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €58.69 versus a price of €330.30, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0IU8?
Our model-based fair value for Safran SA is €58.69 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €330.30.
What is the quality score of 0IU8?
Safran SA has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Safran SA (0IU8)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €58.69 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €40.28, optimistic scenario €84.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Safran SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €58.69, about −82% upside versus a price of €330.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €40.28, optimistic scenario €84.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Safran SA (0IU8)?
Safran SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €31.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Safran SA pay a dividend?
Safran SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Safran SA (0IU8)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Safran SA it is €58.69 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €330.30. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Safran SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0IU8 trades above its calculated fair value: price €330.30, fair value €58.69, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0IU8?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€330.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€58.69). For Safran SA the two are €271.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Safran SA worth?
The market values Safran SA at about €45.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €330.30; our models calculate a fair value of €58.69 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0IU8?
Our models span a range for Safran SA: cautious scenario €40.28, base €58.69, optimistic €84.96 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €330.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Safran SA (0IU8)?
Balance-sheet figures for Safran SA (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 55.7%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0IU8 from its 52-week high?
Safran SA trades at €330.30, about 9% below its 52-week high of €362.75 and 24% above the low of €265.69 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €58.69 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Safran SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Safran SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €330.30, calculated fair value €58.69 (−82%), Quality Score 48/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0IU8 calculated?
We run Safran SA through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €58.69, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Safran SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Safran SA (0IU8)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €330.30. Our model-based fair value is €58.69, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Safran SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€84.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€40.28 to €84.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Safran SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Safran SA (0IU8)?
The market capitalisation of Safran SA is €45.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Safran SA (0IU8)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Safran SA is 1.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Safran SA (0IU8)?
The dividend yield of Safran SA is 3.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Safran SA (0IU8)?
The net margin of Safran SA is 2.1% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Safran SA (0IU8)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Safran SA is 55.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Safran SA (0IU8)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Safran SA is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Safran SA (0IU8)?
The operating margin of Safran SA is 13.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Safran SA (0IU8)?
Revenue at Safran SA is growing +12.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Safran SA (0IU8)?
Earnings per share at Safran SA are growing +90.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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