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Textron Inc. (0LF0) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Textron Inc. $49.38, price $77.10, upside -36.0%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · GB · Home US

TI Some data Sep 24, 2026

Textron Inc.

0LF0 · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $49.38 · Strongly overvalued (−36.0%)
✓Quality 63/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓8.6% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Ranks above peers (6/10)
!Narrow moat 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$100.39 $24.66 Fair Value $49.38 Jan 2018 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $24.66 – $100.39 · fair‑value band $33.44 – $67.30 · the $77.10 price screens above the $49.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Textron Inc. operates in the aircraft, defense, industrial, and finance businesses worldwide. It operates in six segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Textron eAviation, and Finance.

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Textron Inc. operates in the aircraft, defense, industrial, and finance businesses worldwide. It operates in six segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Textron eAviation, and Finance. The Textron Aviation segment manufactures, sells, and services business jets, turboprop and piston engine aircraft, and military trainer and defense aircraft, as well as offers maintenance, inspection, and repair services; commercial parts; and advanced flight training devices. The Bell segment supplies military and commercial helicopters, tiltrotor aircraft, and related spare parts and services. The Textron Systems segment offers unmanned aircraft systems, electronic systems and solutions, advanced marine crafts, piston aircraft engines, live military air-to-air and air-to-ship training, weapons and related components, and armored and specialty vehicles. The Industrial segment offers blow-molded solutions, including conventional plastic fuel tanks and pressurized fuel tanks; plastic tanks for catalytic reduction systems and other fuel system components; lightweight and composite pentatonic battery systems for use in electric vehicles primarily to automobile original equipment manufacturers; and golf cars, off-road utility vehicles, powersports products, light transportation vehicles, aviation ground support equipment, professional turf-maintenance equipment, and turf-care vehicles to golf courses and resorts, government agencies and municipalities, consumers, outdoor enthusiasts, and commercial and industrial users. The Textron eAviation segment manufactures and sells light aircraft and gliders with electric and combustion engines; and provides other research and development initiatives related to sustainable aviation solutions. The Finance segment offers financing services to purchase new and pre-owned aviation aircraft and Bell helicopters. Textron Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island.

Stock analysis

Textron Inc. (0LF0) currently trades at $77.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.38, 36.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $64.44 per share, and 1 of the 22 models we run sit above the $77.10 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $21.72, and 21 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $33.44 (bear) to $67.30 (bull), the price of $77.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Textron Inc. reported revenue of $14.8B in FY2025 versus $11.7B in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was $921M in FY2025, compounding +31.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $13.9B · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 0.02 · EPS (TTM) $3.43 · Dividend yield 8.6% · Net margin 6.2% · Return on equity 12.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −36%, 0LF0 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $33.44 Fair Value $49.38 Bull $67.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.35 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $32.05 $44.92 $70.28 80
Growth DCF $33.49 $46.03 $68.59 78
Owner Earnings $32.40 $45.39 $70.97 76
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $32.05 $44.92 $70.28 80
Owner Earnings $32.40 $45.39 $70.97 76
5Y Revenue Exit $28.79 $44.33 $67.78 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $37.25 $58.66 $88.05 74
5Y P/E Exit $39.05 $61.72 $89.75 70
10Y Revenue Exit $28.79 $42.31 $57.55 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $34.83 $51.54 $70.36 69
10Y P/E Exit $35.92 $53.52 $71.44 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $25.78 $42.18 $51.06 67
EPV $21.50 $26.15 $30.16 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $59.70 $79.61 $99.51 63
P/S Multiple $48.33 $64.44 $80.55 58
P/B Multiple $48.33 $64.44 $80.55 55
EV/EBIT $44.58 $62.09 $79.60 66
EV/EBITDA $48.31 $67.07 $85.82 67
EV/Revenue $29.54 $45.61 $61.68 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.21 $21.72 $32.41 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $33.49 $46.03 $68.59 78
Rev-Margin DCF $28.79 $45.24 $66.24 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $29.59 $33.46 $41.22 76
ROIC Compounder $21.50 $26.15 $30.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $42.16 $60.23 $78.30 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.6% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.8% vs 9.1%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.4% a year for the price and +1.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+5.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.2%

0LF0 screens overvalued: fair value 36% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −35.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12.3% · Above median
Return on assets 4.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.49× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)59 · sector 59
PAST (return on equity)49 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)75 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $312.29 $92.61 −70%
RTX Corporation RTX $185.01 $88.30 −52%
Airbus SE AIR €185.60 €112.14 −40%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $509.25 $439.62 −14%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $230.94 $52.67 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $334.16 $274.19 −18%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $504.61 $382.98 −24%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,116 $1,228 +10%
Thales S.A HO €222.70 €170.99 −23%
Rheinmetall AG RHM €956.90 €313.19 −67%

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Textron Inc. · Fair Value
$49.38 −36%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Textron Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0LF0

Frequently asked questions

Is Textron Inc. (0LF0) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $49.38 versus a price of $77.10, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0LF0?
Our model-based fair value for Textron Inc. is $49.38 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $77.10.
What is the quality score of 0LF0?
Textron Inc. has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $49.38 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $33.44, optimistic scenario $67.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Textron Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $49.38, about −36% upside versus a price of $77.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $33.44, optimistic scenario $67.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
Textron Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Textron Inc. pay a dividend?
Textron Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Textron Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +12.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0LF0 use?
Our models discount Textron Inc. at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Textron Inc. that is +12.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Textron Inc. (0LF0) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Textron Inc. grew +1.7 % a year. The price currently implies +12.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Textron Inc. (0LF0) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Textron Inc. (+12.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.05 %: that much free cash flow Textron Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Textron Inc. it is $49.38 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $77.10. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Textron Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0LF0 trades above its calculated fair value: price $77.10, fair value $49.38, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0LF0?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($77.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($49.38). For Textron Inc. the two are $27.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Textron Inc. worth?
The market values Textron Inc. at about $13.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $77.10; our models calculate a fair value of $49.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0LF0?
Our models span a range for Textron Inc.: cautious scenario $33.44, base $49.38, optimistic $67.30 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $77.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0LF0?
Textron Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $49.38 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
Balance-sheet figures for Textron Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.3%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0LF0 from its 52-week high?
Textron Inc. trades at $77.10, about 23% below its 52-week high of $100.39 and 1% above the low of $76.58 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $49.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Textron Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Textron Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $77.10, calculated fair value $49.38 (−36%), Quality Score 63/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0LF0 calculated?
We run Textron Inc. through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $49.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Textron Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $77.10. Our model-based fair value is $49.38, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Textron Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($67.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($33.44 to $67.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Textron Inc. (0LF0) come from?
Earnings per share at Textron Inc. grew +8.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.7 %, EBIT margin −0.9 %, tax rate +1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Textron Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
The market capitalisation of Textron Inc. is $13.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Textron Inc. is 0.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
Earnings per share at Textron Inc. are $3.43 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
The dividend yield of Textron Inc. is 8.6% (payout 194%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
The net margin of Textron Inc. is 6.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Textron Inc. is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Textron Inc. is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
The operating margin of Textron Inc. is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
Revenue at Textron Inc. is growing +11.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Textron Inc. (0LF0)?
Earnings per share at Textron Inc. are growing +10.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Textron Inc. (0LF0) carry?
The net debt of Textron Inc. is $2.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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